## TLDR Summary

Bitcoin has been grinding lower since the 82,500 highs and is now approaching a major confluence zone — the 0.618 retracement, POC, and yellow ascending channel lower band all converging in the same area below. This is the logical spot to tap before any recovery attempt, and limit order longs at this level are the sensible play. The 100-day MA is still tracking above for now, but if the floor fails we have the 65-67k bear scenario to contend with. Macro is hot today — Trump’s Iran nuclear deal landed alongside a $1 billion US crypto seizure, and XLM exploded 40% on alt rotation momentum. Neutral day, eyes on the reaction below.

Your BTC daily summary and chart.

🟢 BULLISH

Price has been making its way down steadily since 82,500, as we slowly head towards the channel bottom we can clearly see the next bullish zone. If we tap this blue box, which looks very likely at this point we then have a strong launchpad to spring from - 0.618, POC, rising channel. This would be a solid bounce zone if the reaction is strong and just what we need to start to reclaim some levels.

🟡 NEUTRAL

As we are currently still respecting the 100-day moving average we have to assume that we will track this for now until the zone below is tapped. On that basis it’s totally possible to bounce between the order block above and this level until we make our proper move into that zone below where we can react.

🔴 BEARISH

As we slowly come down to meet the bottom of the yellow ascending channel, we will soon need to make a decision in which direction we are headed and how big the reaction will be. As explained just above in the bullish section, at this time this seems like the logical move and therefore it wouldn’t be that bearish to do so, unless of course we lose that level - in which case we then have our bear scenario set out for us down to 65-67k.

📋 SUMMARY

At this time since the highs of 82,500, Bitcoin has been slowly declining down this local blue trend line. As you can see from the diagram it makes a lot of sense to now tap the 618 and the blue rectangle and the POC and the ascending channel lower band. We have to assume that is where our price action is headed next and it will be sensible to set some limit order longs at this level.

WE ALSO NOW HAVE A FULL BTC REPORT AVAILABLE IN HACKERS FOR THE DAY - WHAT MAY HAPPEN LATER / KEY INSIGHTS - COME AND JOIN AND FIND MY CHANNEL SECTION - CHAOSS

📰 TODAY’S KEY STORIES

💚 Bitcoin · On-Chain

Bitcoin Whales Stopped Buying — Is a Price Crash Coming?

Major BTC whales have paused accumulation for the first time in months, with on-chain patterns echoing 2022 pre-crash conditions. Historically this kind of whale halt has preceded significant downward moves before eventual reloading at lower levels.

🔴 Breaking · Macro

Trump Says Iran Agrees Not to Develop Nuclear Weapons — US Seizes $1B in Iranian-Linked Crypto

A major diplomatic-enforcement one-two: Iran commits to no nuclear development as the US simultaneously seizes $1.1 billion in Iranian-linked crypto. One of the largest crypto enforcement actions of its kind — aggressive US sanctions enforcement on display.

💚 Bitcoin · Price Target

The Bitcoin ‘Dream Entry’ to Wait For Before the Run-Up to $300,000

An analyst has mapped the exact buy zones worth loading before BTC’s anticipated $300k run. The current 71-75k confluence zone aligns with long-term accumulation ranges that have historically launched multi-year bull cycles.

🟡 Alts · Stellar · XLM

Stellar Jumps 40% in a Day — Are XLM Bears About to Get Squeezed?

XLM has exploded 40% in a single session, attracting front-leveraged positioning and short-squeeze speculation. Alt rotation is alive — XLM breaking above key resistance with volume traders watching for follow-through into the new week.

🟡 Alts · BNB · Binance

BNB, Aster Surge Double Digits Ahead of Binance’s Monday Product Reveal

Speculation that Binance may unveil a dual-track US equities platform has BNB and Aster jumping double digits. Haystack teaser imagery on X has set the community buzzing ahead of Monday’s announcement.

🔵 XRP · DeFi · Security

XRP Ledger’s New Proposal Blocks Flash Loan Attacks Costing DeFi Hundreds of Millions

XRP’s atomic transaction architecture makes flash loan attacks structurally impossible on-chain. A new formal proposal cements this as a key institutional differentiator as other chains continue bleeding to DeFi exploits.

💚 Bitcoin · Analysis

Bitcoin at ‘Pivotal Level’ as $65K Downside Risk Looms: Analyst

BTC sits at a critical juncture with $65,000 now in scope on a support failure. A recovery above $76,200 flips the picture — but the reaction at current levels is the deciding factor for the week ahead.

🟡 Alts · Monero · XMR

Monero [XMR] Surges 15% Amid Rising Exchange Inflows — Is $500 Still in Reach?

XMR surged 15% as rising exchange inflows signal growing demand for the privacy coin. The $500 target remains in view if current momentum holds.

🔵 DeFi · Prediction Markets

Wintermute Starts Quoting Prediction Markets as Event-Contract Volume Tops $608B in 2026

Wintermute begins quoting prediction markets as the sector graduates from niche to institutional-grade. Event-contract volume has crossed $608B this year — algo market makers are now fully paying attention.

🔴 Regulation · SEC

SEC Sues Privy Founder Over $12.3M Crypto Scheme as AI ‘Bots’ Turn Out to Be Neither

The SEC charges the Privy founder with a $12.3M crypto fraud — AI-powered trading bots marketed to investors were neither AI nor bots. AI-crypto crossover hype remains firmly in enforcement crosshairs.

🔴 Regulation · CLARITY Act

Banks vs. Crypto: JPMorgan CEO Doubles Down on CLARITY Opposition

Jamie Dimon again opposes the CLARITY Act advancing through the Senate by a slim margin. The most significant US crypto legislation in years faces its most critical vote — with banking’s opposition the loudest obstacle in the room.

🟡 Alts · Dogecoin

Analyst Says This Dogecoin Chart Is Too Dangerous To Ignore — Here’s Why

A technical analyst flags a DOGE chart formation mirroring past expansion cycles. The structure alone has DOGE back on active watch lists ahead of a potential leg higher.

📊 FEAR & GREED READ

💬 F&G sits at 28 — Fear. We’re still firmly in the fear zone. The market hasn’t found its emotional floor yet, but the technical zone below (0.618/POC/channel) aligns well with a potential sentiment shift. Patient traders are stacking limit orders. Fear at technical confluence is historically where the better entries live — watch the reaction closely.

Stay safe out there. Let the zone come to you, don’t chase it. Set your levels, set your alerts, let price do the work. See you tomorrow. — Chaoss & the ChartHackers team

Not Financial Advice — Come and join us at https://charthackers.com

## TLDR Summary

Bitcoin is still sitting on the 100-day moving average at around $73,368 and the descent continues to slow. The RSI is now building what could become a multiple divergence line — which actually supports the case for one more dip to the channel bottom before a real bounce, potentially even a sweep of the order block below. Weekend volume is the variable nobody can control right now. The reaction here over the next 48 hours will tell us everything about next week’s direction — 77k bearish OB or the yellow channel floor. Fear and Greed holds at 23, still deep in Fear. Eyes wide open today.

Your Saturday chart and look at BTC

🟢 BULLISH

Price has been making its way down steadily since 82,500, with the current new lows the next bullish bias lies on the following two aspects. The 100 day MA, which we are sitting on now and the descending shorter term trend. Both CAN act as a bounce zone. Our RSI has now also formed a bullish divergence, and now potentially looks like it may come back again for a multiple divergence line, which backs up a dip to the channel bottom, and maybe even a sweep to the OB below before a bounce.

🟡 NEUTRAL

As we are respecting the 100-day moving average and the support levels set from previous candles, we are starting to make a new shelf of candles at this level. At this time we can see the price action has slowed its descent but we will need to let more candles print before setting a neutral bias. It would be good to see a reaction from BTC to rise back up to the order block above. We may start to range between the 2 x OB for now neutrally but we must wait and watch.

🔴 BEARISH

As we slowly come down to meet the bottom of the yellow ascending channel, we will soon need to make a decision in which direction we are headed and how big the reaction will be. If we lose this channel and come in for a retest, then the next level down would start to open up at around 65k. Until price legitimately turns, we have to consider this as an option and take it level by level as we always do.

📋 SUMMARY

Bitcoin has slowed its descent at this key level. The reaction here will determine what happens next over the coming week, either we sink further down to the yellow channel lower band or we can rise back up to the bearish order block at 77k. We will need to keep a firm eye on the market today and of course, with the weekend volume.

WE ALSO NOW HAVE A FULL BTC REPORT AVAILABLE IN HACKERS FOR THE DAY - WHAT MAY HAPPEN LATER / KEY INSIGHTS - COME AND JOIN AND FIND MY CHANNEL SECTION - CHAOSS

📰 TODAY’S KEY STORIES

💰 Bitcoin Dip Buyers Place $500M in Bids as $70K Retest Looms

On-chain data shows over $500M in Bitcoin buy orders stacked between $70,000 and $72,000, suggesting significant institutional and whale interest at lower levels. As BTC hovers above its 100-day MA, the bid wall below is forming a visible floor — though a genuine test of it would shake the market hard.

🔴 Bitcoin Faces ‘Strategic’ Distribution Below $75K as IPO Frenzy Builds

Institutional flows signal strategic Bitcoin distribution is happening below $75,000, timed alongside a wave of crypto IPOs. More than $2.5 billion in BTC was distributed during the season peak. Circle and others racing for listings could be drawing liquidity away from spot BTC — watch the institutional playbook closely.

🟡 Why Bitcoin Is Struggling While Stocks Keep Rising — The Data Speaks

NKWR Research identifies Bitcoin liquidity withdrawal and declining network participation as primary reasons BTC diverges from the broader equity rally. On-chain metrics show falling engagement from mid-tier holders. Until Bitcoin liquidity returns, the data suggests continued underperformance versus tech equities.

💚 Ethereum Falls But Whales Push Holdings to 10-Week High

Ethereum’s price has declined but on-chain data shows wallets holding 100,000+ ETH have pushed accumulation to the highest level in 10 weeks. While price is under pressure, the big hands are quietly building positions. Price vs whale divergence — one to track.

🟡 Solana Clings to Critical Multi-Year Support as Breakout Pressure Builds

SOL is holding the $79 support zone — a level with multi-year significance. On-chain accumulation is visible across three separate tests of this zone. Price is coiling with macro downtrend intact and margin call pressure building. Make-or-break for Solana heading into June.

🟡 XRP Supply Shock? Analyst Says 90M XRP Quietly Left Exchanges

90M XRP has quietly moved off exchanges per CoinPedia analysis. Binance and Coinbase showing different XRP trends with net outflows now dominant. The exchange supply reduction could be a pre-breakout signal or long-term holder repositioning heading into Q3.

🔴 Uniswap Whale Dumps 2.38M Tokens at a Loss — Are Bears Gaining?

A major UNI whale sold 2.38 million tokens at a loss as exchange inflows flash fresh warning signs. On-chain data shows UNI holding critical $3 support but the whale exit combined with rising exchange inflows signals growing bear momentum.

💚 Injective Surges 141%, Hits 6-Month High — Can Bulls Target $77?

Injective has surged 141%, reaching a 6-month high with profit-taking at record levels. Options open interest exceeded $337 million with calls outpacing puts 2:1 across exchanges. INJ will need sustained volume to push toward the $77 target bulls have in sight.

🟡 Can XRP Repeat Stellar’s 52% Surge After DTCC Integration?

A recent DTCC-XRP bridge partnership triggered a temporary 90% move for XLM on announcement. Analysts are now asking whether a similar DTCC integration could drive comparable gains for XRP. Different liquidity dynamics but the narrative is growing into the weekend.

💚 Corporate Ethereum Tracker: Digital Boys Add Another $20M ETH

Ethereum corporate accumulation continues with Digital Boys adding $20M in ETH at average $2,218. The fund now holds 38,681 ETH worth $85M. Corporate ETH accumulation is quietly broadening out even as price struggles.

🔴 Bessent: ‘We Outright Grabbed The Wallets’ — $13B in Iran Crypto Seized

Treasury Secretary Bessent confirmed the US has seized $13B in Iran-controlled crypto assets in a direct wallet confiscation operation. Iran reportedly held around $30B in crypto reserves globally. A significant geopolitical event that underscores state-level blockchain tracking capabilities.

🟡 Polymarket Gives US AI Safety Bill Just 13% Chance of Passing by 2027

Prediction markets price the odds of a meaningful US federal AI safety bill passing before 2027 at just 13%. The low odds suggest the regulatory window for AI governance stays effectively open — a positive read for AI infrastructure investors.

💚 Goldman Sachs: Capacitor Stocks to Surge as AI Data Centers Devour Components

Goldman Sachs predicts capacitor manufacturer stocks will surge dramatically as AI data centre buildout accelerates through 2026. MLCC market could reach $20.3B by 2027. Goldman issued a 70% price target premium on capacitor stocks with conviction.

💚 Top 3 Risk Tokens for June 2026: XLM Breakout Confirmed, One Warning

BeInCrypto highlights Stellar (XLM) as a confirmed breakout heading into June, with shorts fading on the DTCC catalyst. XLM’s DTCC-driven momentum places it at the front of the altcoin pack for early June watchlists.

📊 FEAR & GREED READ

F&G holds at 23 today — still deep in Fear, unchanged from yesterday. The descent has slowed and RSI is now building a potential second divergence line, which actually backs up the case for a sweep lower before a real bounce. The crowd is maximally scared going into the weekend. The 100-day MA and the yellow channel floor are the lines to watch. $500M in dip buy orders sit below. Weekend volume is the story today.

Stay safe out there. See you tomorrow. — Chaoss & the ChartHackers team

Not Financial Advice — Come and join us at https://charthackers.com

## TLDR Summary

Bitcoin is sitting on the 100-day moving average at around $73,228 and the sellers are starting to slow down — RSI has built a bullish divergence and we’re beginning to form a shelf of candles at this level. Today is a pivotal day. The reaction here will determine whether we push back toward the 77k bearish order block or break below the yellow ascending channel and open the road to 65k. SpaceX confirmed as a $1.3B Bitcoin strategic reserve holder via SEC filing — a major headline. Fear and Greed stays deep in fear territory at 23, but the setup is one to watch very closely this morning.

Markets are cautiously risk-on Friday morning as the US and Iran edge closer to a 60-day ceasefire extension, sending industrial metals to their best monthly gain since January. Oil is firmer overnight — Brent at $92.24 (+0.3%), WTI at $88.17 (+0.4%) — with fresh US sanctions on Iranian military oil trade adding complexity alongside the diplomacy. The S&P 500 closed at a fresh record high of 7,563 on Thursday (ninth consecutive week of gains) while Bitcoin languishes near $73K under record ETF outflow pressure.

Your morning Chart and Analysis for BTC

🟢 BULLISH

Price has been making its way down steadily since 82,500, with the current new lows the next bullish bias lies on the following two aspects. The 100 day MA, which we are sitting on now and the descending shorter term trend. Both CAN act as a bounce zone so it will be a day to watch closely today. Our RSI has now also formed a bullish divergence.

🟡 NEUTRAL

As we are respecting the 100-day moving average and the support levels set from previous candles, we are starting to make a new shelf of candles at this level. At this time we can see the price action has slowed its descent but we will need to let more candles print before setting a neutral bias. It would be good to see a reaction from BTC to rise back up to the order block above.

🔴 BEARISH

As we slowly come down to meet the bottom of the yellow ascending channel, we will soon need to make a decision in which direction we are headed and how big the reaction will be. if we lose this channel and come in for a retest, then the next level down would start to open up at around 65k. Until price legitimately turns, we have to consider this as an option now and take it level by level as we always do

📋 SUMMARY

Bitcoin has slowed its descent at this key level. The reaction here will determine what happens next over the coming week, either we sink further down to the yellow channel lower band or we can rise back up to the bearish order block at 77k. We will need to keep a firm eye on the market today and what news comes out, a pivotal day as ever.

WE ALSO NOW HAVE A FULL BTC REPORT AVAILABLE IN HACKERS FOR THE DAY - WHAT MAY HAPPEN LATER / KEY INSIGHTS - COME AND JOIN AND FIND MY CHANNEL SECTION - CHAOSS

📰 TODAY’S KEY STORIES

💚 SpaceX Holds 18,712 BTC — Bloomberg Confirms $1.3B Strategic Reserve

Bloomberg live confirmed SpaceX has been quietly accumulating Bitcoin for years without ever selling. They now hold 18,712 BTC worth approximately $1.3 billion, described as a strategic reserve in an SEC filing. Could become the first $1 trillion Bitcoin company — massive validation for long-term BTC holders.

🔴 BlackRock Clients Pull $177M as Bitcoin ETF Outflows Persist

BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust saw $177.95M in client redemptions as portfolio adjustments accelerate amid volatile markets. BlackRock itself isn’t selling — it’s clients rebalancing. The pattern of periodic outflows has characterised the US Bitcoin ETF landscape throughout much of 2025.

💚 Whale Garret Jin Expands BTC Long to $94M at the 6-Week Low

At BTC’s 6-week low of $72,728, whale Garret Jin added to his position, bringing his total to 1,268 BTC worth $94.4 million. While retail backs away, the big hands are adding. Smart money accumulation diverging from retail fear — this split is always worth paying attention to.

💚 Cardone Capital Buys $9.5M More BTC — 80% of Clients Had Zero Exposure Before

Grant Cardone revealed at Consensus Miami that 80% of Cardone Capital’s $5.3B fund investors had no Bitcoin exposure when they started shifting strategy. Now buying dips aggressively — $9.5M more at these levels, folding BTC into property deals under a single LLC structure.

🔴 Bitcoin Golden Ratio Multiplier Signals 50% Price Crash Still Possible

CryptoCon warned that Bitcoin could still face a deeper correction of up to 50% based on the Golden Ratio Multiplier. The model has historically aligned with major cycle bottoms and current readings suggest the bottom may not be in yet. A significant risk signal that bears won’t let go of.

🟡 US and Iran Very Close to Ceasefire Extension — Vance

VP JD Vance announced the US and Iran are very close to extending their ceasefire agreement to June 7. Prediction markets now price the deal at 58.5% YES — up from 46%. A notable risk-on macro event that could ease broader market pressure heading into the weekend if confirmed.

🟡 NASDAQ Implied Correlation Hits Record Low — Calm Before a Storm?

The Nasdaq’s implied correlation has dropped to its lowest level ever recorded — Cboe 1-month measures as low as 8.7. The lowest in 23 years. When stocks stop moving together it looks calm on the surface. History says it’s often right before something breaks. Watch the macro setup.

🔴 Ethereum Warning Signals Strengthen Below $2,020 — Recovery Uncertain Yet

ETH broke below $2,020 and is consolidating near $2,000. A bearish trend line on the hourly is forming resistance at $2,010. Trading below the 100-hourly SMA. ETH could continue lower if it stays under $2,050 — bulls need a catalyst and they need it soon.

🟡 Gold Flat as Iran Truce Hopes Compete with Sticky US Inflation

Spot gold held near $4,495 in Asian trading Friday as ceasefire extension hopes competed with persistent inflation concerns from elevated oil prices. Gold fell to a 2-month low the prior session but recovered on deal optimism. The week ends largely flat for bullion.

💚 Samsung Ships HBM4 AI Memory Samples — Shares Surge 6%

Samsung Electronics shipped its sixth-generation HBM4 high-bandwidth memory samples to data centre customers globally. Shares rose 6% and market cap crossed $1 trillion. Q1 2026 operating profit jumped eightfold. The AI memory race is fully on and Samsung is making its most aggressive push yet.

💚 Mastercard Wins NY BitLicense to Expand Crypto Payment Infrastructure

Mastercard was granted a BitLicense by the NY State Department of Financial Services, allowing it to conduct crypto payment activities statewide. The license lets Mastercard clear and settle tokenised assets on-chain without third parties. A significant step toward mainstream crypto payment rails.

🔴 Peter Schiff: Strategy’s BTC Model Is One of Three Falling Debt Dominos

Peter Schiff argues Strategy’s stock-to-Bitcoin accumulation is one of three simultaneously collapsing dominoes alongside the $39.19T national debt and the AI bubble. All three are propped up by cheap borrowing. When rates rise, Schiff says the reckoning arrives for all three at once.

💚 Cardano Whale Holdings Hit Record Levels Not Seen Since 2017

ADA whale wallets now hold 25 billion ADA — 67% of total supply — the highest since 2017. The last time this level of concentration was seen, ADA went on a monster run. Price continues tightening downward but the accumulation signal from big players here is one to note.

🟡 XRP Fear Explodes Again — But Analyst Says Market Is Misreading Signals

XRP dipped from $1.3267 to $1.2931 before recovering $1.30. CryptoWendyO pushed back on fear narratives, arguing current weakness is being compared to December 2020 without proper context. XRP’s 30-day MVRV at its lowest since Dec 2020 — historically that’s been closer to a reversal signal than continuation.

📊 FEAR & GREED READ

F&G sits at 23 today — deep in Fear. Ticked up one point from yesterday’s 22, which mirrors what we’re seeing on the BTC chart: the descent is slowing. RSI divergence is building and sellers are easing off. Doesn’t mean we’re at the bottom — the Golden Ratio warning and the 65k zone below are both real risks. But we’re at a level where the crowd is maximally scared and the smart money is quietly accumulating. Pivotal Friday. Watch the candles carefully today.

Stay safe out there. See you tomorrow. — Chaoss & the ChartHackers team

Not Financial Advice — Come and join us at https://charthackers.com

## TLDR Summary

Risk-off session: Iran's IRGC struck a US airbase in Kuwait overnight, escalating the US-Iran war and sending crypto sharply lower. BTC fell through $74k and ETH broke $2,000 for the first time in over a month. Oil surged on renewed Hormuz closure fears, with Brent above $95/bbl and WTI pushing $92. The S&P held relatively steady (-0.28%), but markets are on edge watching every headline out of the Persian Gulf.

BTC is sitting right on the 100-day moving average and the descending short-term trend line after a difficult week sliding from 82,500. The RSI is now at extreme lows and showing early reversal signs — a zone that has historically set up strong bounces. The yellow ascending channel floor is the next line in the sand: hold it and the bulls have a case, lose it and 65k opens below. All eyes on today’s candles. Fear and Greed sits at 22 while traditional markets are hitting all-time highs — the divergence is notable.

Your BTC Chart & Summary

🟢 BULLISH

Price has been making its way down steadily since 82,500, with the current new lows the next bullish bias lies on the following two aspects. The 100 day MA, which we are sitting on now and the descending shorter term trend. Both CAN act as a bounce zone so it will be a day to watch closely today. Our RSI also looks very low and ready to make a turn.

🟡 NEUTRAL

We will need to lets the market candles play out today before we make a neutral call as i need to see some levels form. At this point the lower level would be between this 100 day MA and the channel bottom below but we need to see where price can get back to from here (potentially the POC above and that shelf)

🔴 BEARISH

As we slowly come down to meet the bottom of the yellow ascending channel, we will soon need to make a decision in which direction we are headed and how big the reaction will be. if we lose this channel and come in for a retest, then the next level down would start to open up at around 65k. Until price legitimately turns, we have to consider this as an option now and take it level by level as we always do

📋 SUMMARY

Bitcoin is having a difficult week; however it is notable that the RSI is now quite low. We are having some reversal signs as it turns upwards, and we will watch closely today and for the rest of this week to see if cash starts to flow back in and the price starts to go up again towards the 200-day moving average.

WE ALSO NOW HAVE A FULL BTC REPORT AVAILABLE IN HACKERS FOR THE DAY - WHAT MAY HAPPEN LATER / KEY INSIGHTS - COME AND JOIN AND FIND MY CHANNEL SECTION - CHAOSS

📰 TODAY’S KEY STORIES

🔴 BTC · Macro — Stock Market Predicts the BTC Bottom Before the Rally

Analyst Chain Mind draws the correlation: BTC has never bottomed before the S&P 500 does. Every BTC bear market ended exactly when the stock market made its final retrace — 2015, 2018, 2022. S&P 500 still hitting new highs. The BTC bottom may still lie ahead before any sustainable rally begins.

🟡 BTC · Analysis — “Historically a Solid Sign” — Why Crypto’s Bearish Crowd May Be Wrong

AMBCrypto analysis shows that elevated bearish crowd sentiment at this level is historically a solid sign that prices can rebound with little resistance. The crowd is bearish — but the crowd is usually wrong at the turn. Worth watching closely today.

🔴 ETH · Price — Ethereum Price Struggles Near Key Levels as Market Sentiment Weakens

ETH has broken below $2,500 and is testing critical $2,000 support. Momentum reads bearish across multiple timeframes and sentiment is near yearly lows. Multiple key support levels tested in rapid succession this week as alts continue to bleed.

🟢 Macro · Markets — Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq Close at Fresh Records Together in 2026

All three major US indexes hit simultaneous record highs for the first time in 2026. AI enthusiasm and strong corporate earnings drove the rally. Traditional markets diverging sharply from the fear gripping crypto right now — that divergence is something to watch.

🔴 Macro · Geopolitics — Trump Appears to Threaten Oman with Bombing over Strait of Hormuz

Trump warned Oman of potential US military action to control the Strait of Hormuz if cooperation talks fail. The Strait carries 21% of global oil traffic. Oil markets reacting, adding more pressure to an already cautious macro backdrop.

🟢 Macro · Tech — Robinhood Enables AI Chatbots for Share Trading — Crypto Next in Line

Robinhood launched Agentic Trading on May 27, letting third-party AI agents buy and sell stocks via MCP servers. Crypto, options, and futures confirmed as the next phase. AI-agent trading infrastructure is going mainstream faster than most expected.

🟢 BTC · Exchange — Kraken Rolls Out Bitcoin Vault Product for Holders to Earn Yield

Kraken Bitcoin Vault lets BTC holders earn up to 2.5% APY paid directly in BTC. A crypto-native yield product as Kraken expands its institutional lineup beyond pure trading into passive income for long-term holders.

🟢 Reg · Stables — SoFi Launches SoFiUSD Stablecoin Across Ethereum and Solana

SoFi becomes the first U.S.-chartered bank to issue a stablecoin. SoFiUSD is now live on Ethereum and Solana, available to 9 million members directly via the banking app. Plans include DeFi access and on-chain yield. A landmark moment for regulated bank-issued digital dollars.

🟡 XRP · Reg — Ripple Presses SEC — Wants XRP Treated Like BTC & ETH

Ripple submitted a follow-up letter to the SEC Crypto Task Force requesting XRP receive the same regulatory treatment as BTC and ETH. Demanding functional clarity on which on-chain transactions constitute securities activity.

🔴 DeFi · AI — A16z: AI Agents Can Detect DeFi Exploits — Executing Them Is Another Story

A16z benchmarked AI agents against 20 real Ethereum price manipulation cases. AI is getting good at finding vulnerabilities — but one rogue AI broke out of its testing sandbox. DeFi security teams now face a fundamentally harder adversarial threat landscape.

🟢 BTC · Exchange — Kraken Enters Funded Trading with New Prop Program After Acquisition

Kraken Prop lets traders access up to $200k in firm capital after an evaluation. The only major crypto exchange running a direct prop program as rivals chase M&A. Going after performance-driven retail traders directly.

🟢 Sol · RWA — Orca Launches Permissioned Pools for Regulated RWA Trading on Solana

Orca deployed permissioned pools on Solana letting regulated asset issuers toggle compliance controls for tokenised security trading on-chain. Major infrastructure step for real-world assets as institutional RWA demand grows.

🔴 Alt · AVAX — AVAX Whales Withdraw $35M from Exchanges — Can Price Reclaim $10.45?

AVAX whales pulled $35M from exchanges as accumulation intensified at the $8.21 support zone. Reduced exchange supply could set up a move toward $10.45 even as Spot ETF inflows remain at $0.

🟢 Macro · Markets — Investors Hunt for AI Winners in Small-Cap Tech as ETF Sees Major Inflows

The Invesco S&P SmallCap Info Tech ETF reversed four years of outflows with $49.7M in 2026 net inflows. Investors rotating from Nvidia and Microsoft toward small-cap AI infrastructure plays with better valuation profiles.

📊 FEAR & GREED READ

💬 F&G sitting at 22 — deep in Fear territory, down from 25 yesterday. The market is pricing maximum doubt. Historically this sits right at the edge of where smarter money starts to accumulate. RSI is at its lowest point in months with early reversal signals showing. Not a buy signal on its own — but worth watching closely today. The crowd is scared. That’s often when the setup starts forming.

“Until price legitimately turns, we have to consider this as an option now and take it level by level as we always do.” — Chaoss

Stay safe out there. Watch the channel floor today — this is a big one. See you tomorrow. — Chaoss & the ChartHackers team

Not Financial Advice — Come and join us at https://charthackers.com

## TLDR Summary

Bitcoin is stuck in a grind this week — ranging between the discount and equilibrium blocks while the ascending channel floor edges closer. Fear and Greed dropped to 25 and the 50-day MA plus a bearish order block are both sitting overhead as resistance. The RSI is showing early reversal signs which is the one reason not to go full bear, but we haven’t had confirmation yet. Alts are struggling to catch a bid and the CLARITY Act path to passage is looking increasingly unlikely before year-end. Cautious and level by level is the only approach right now.

Your morning BTC chart and summary.

🟢 BULLISH

Price has been making its way down steadily since 82,500, with the current most recent low set at 74-75k, if that was indeed the current low and we are to make higher highs and higher lows, then the next bullish move will be pressing back over the shelf which has formed at 78k. We now have the 50 day MA and a bearish order block as resistance so there is some work to do to remain bullish. The oscillators however are showing some bullish reversal signs potentially.

🟡 NEUTRAL

As discussed yesterday and the day before, price seems to be taking the neutral route, and is steadily ranging between the discount and equilibrium blocks on the chart. We had hoped that this would give the alts a time to catch up; however it’s been a shaky week on the market. Neutral continuation would be to maintain this range with no real progress being made.

🔴 BEARISH

As we slowly come down to meet the bottom of the yellow ascending channel, we will soon need to make a decision in which direction we are headed and when the reaction will be. if we lose this channel and come in for a retest, then the next level down would start to open up at around 65k. Until price legitimately turns, we have to consider this as an option now and take it level by level as we always do.

📋 SUMMARY

Bitcoin is having a difficult week; however it is notable that the RSI is now quite low. We are having some reversal signs as it turns upwards, and we will watch closely today and for the rest of this week to see if cash starts to flow back in and the price starts to go up again towards the 200-day moving average.

WE ALSO NOW HAVE A FULL BTC REPORT AVAILABLE IN HACKERS FOR THE DAY - WHAT MAY HAPPEN LATER / KEY INSIGHTS - COME AND JOIN AND FIND MY CHANNEL SECTION - CHAOSS

📰 TODAY’S KEY STORIES

🔴 Bitcoin Price Downtrend Gains Pace, Recovery Hopes Continue To Fade

Multiple signals now pointing the same direction: lower high confirmed, RSI still weak, price below the 50-day MA. Recovery attempts stalling at the OB each time. Ascending channel floor is the key battleground now — if that fails, 65k enters the conversation.

🔴 DeFi TVL Slides 14% Since KelpDAO Exploit as Risk Appetite Retreats

Total value locked across DeFi has fallen from roughly $172B to $148B since mid-April — the inflection point tracing directly to the KelpDAO LayerZero bridge exploit. North Korea’s Lazarus Group linked to the $292M theft. Broader DeFi sentiment remains depressed five weeks on.

🟡 Japan’s Nikkei Hits Record High as Chip-Related Shares Jump

The Nikkei closed at a record 43,875 on Wednesday, up 2.7% — driven by chip-sector names after strong US semiconductor performance overnight. A rare positive signal in an otherwise cautious global macro week.

🔴 U.K. Sanctions HTX Over Suspected Ties to Russian Crypto Operations

Britain’s first-ever direct sanctions on a major crypto platform — Huobi Global S.A. (HTX). Accused of providing financial services to Russian-linked networks and helping entities evade Western sanctions. Asset freezes and bans on payment processing now in effect.

🟡 How High Can XRP Go? Trader New Price Prediction Targets $20 Level

XRP at $1.33, down as the post-CLARITY Act rally continues to unwind. One trader targets $20 on a Fibonacci weekly setup but the daily still reads bearish. Needs to reclaim $1.87 (50 EMA) before any bullish case is credible.

💚 HYPE Price Breakout Ignites Rally Toward $170 Target

Hyperliquid’s HYPE token has broken out of a multi-week base and retail traders are eyeing a $170 target. On-chain perpetuals hit a volume record this week. HYPE continues to flip legacy altcoins in market cap — a standout mover in a quiet market.

💚 Sharplink and Forward Industries Joining Russell 2000 and 3000 Indexes

Ethereum treasury firm Sharplink and Solana treasury Forward Industries will both be included in the Russell 3000 and 2000 at end of June. They join BitMine as the latest crypto treasuries to gain index inclusion. A landmark moment for institutional acceptance.

🔴 CLARITY Act Clock Ticks Down: TD Cowen Says 2026 Passage Looks Less Likely

Despite clearing both Senate committees, the CLARITY Act faces a near-impossible path to a full floor vote before year-end. TD Cowen says the team remains pessimistic. Markets had priced in optimism — a reversal could weigh on altcoin sentiment.

🟡 Ethereum Staking Record Meets On-Chain Collapse: What’s Holding ETH Price

ETH staking hit an all-time high with record validator participation — but on-chain activity collapsed simultaneously. Analysts point to capital locked in staking as a drag on ecosystem velocity. ETH underperforming despite the staking milestone.

🟡 Shiba Inu Sellers Exhausted, DOGE Addition Question of Time, XRP Recovery Starts

Wednesday crypto market review: SHIB seller pressure appears exhausted. DOGE could see fresh corporate treasury demand — a question of timing, not if. XRP starting to show recovery structure. Market may be coiling for an altcoin rotation.

🔴 EU’s Stablecoin Regulation Ranked Most Restrictive Globally, Analysis Shows

A new EY analysis ranks EU MiCA as the world’s most restrictive stablecoin regime. Strict 1:1 reserves, hard transaction caps for non-euro pegged coins, mandatory issuer authorization. Only Circle’s EURC has achieved full MiCA authorization to date.

🟡 The Magnificent Seven Done Reporting — Top 3 Stocks to Watch

All Mag7 members have reported Q1 2026 results. Wednesday watchlist: Salesforce earnings after close, Meta annual meeting, Nikkei at record highs on chip strength. Dow turns 130 — underperformed S&P recently but still tracks long-term.

🔵 New Quantum Stock Could Debut With $13 Billion Valuation

Quantinium — a Honeywell spinoff — has set IPO terms targeting up to $1B at a ~$13B valuation. Was in line for $100M from the Trump administration’s quantum initiative. Government also taking a minority stake.

🔵 Bank of Japan Watching Middle East Developments for Rate Decisions

BoJ Deputy Governor Himino confirmed the bank is tracking Middle East geopolitical developments and their impact on oil prices and global growth. Commodity inflation tail risk back on the macro tape.

📊 FEAR & GREED READ

Fear and Greed at 25. That’s deep Fear and it’s showing. BTC has been grinding lower all week and the oscillators are now quite oversold — which is the one thing giving me pause before going full bearish. The RSI is turning and showing early reversal signs. But a reversal sign is not a reversal. We need to see price hold, make a higher low, and push through that 78k shelf before I talk bull again. Right now it’s channel floor versus nothing. If we lose the ascending channel floor, 65k is a real number. Alts have had a rough week too — the timing on the catch-up trade hasn’t played out. Watch, wait, level by level as always. Not financial advice.

Stay safe out there. See you tomorrow. — Chaoss & the ChartHackers team

Not Financial Advice — Come and join us at https://charthackers.com

## TLDR Summary

Bitcoin bounced off the 73-74k support zone established in mid-April but the structure still looks weak — a lower high has formed after tapping the order block, RSI has turned down, and price is now below the 50-day MA. Bank holiday volume kept yesterday’s session artificially quiet, so today is the first real test with full participation back in the market. On the macro side the dollar is firming on renewed US-Iran tension, ETF outflows hit $1.257B on the week, and Hyperliquid just flipped Dogecoin in the market cap rankings. Buyers need to show up here or the lower channel at 72-73k becomes the next conversation.

Your morning BTC Chart and summary

🟢 BULLISH

Continuation from yesterday, Bitcoin established a support level in line with the wick and cluster from Mid April, down at 73-74k, and so far we have bounced off that. We have an order block that we have just tapped into but for now we have made a lower high. The 50-day moving average is currently acting as a magnet but we are below it now and RSI turned down. To remain bullish we would need a higher low and then to push through this level to the upside.

🟡 NEUTRAL

With the newly established support level below and the order block with some liquidity left above, price can simply range between these two levels today. We have had less volume today due to May bank holiday around the world so we will need to see what happens today to determine their next moves. We are sitting close to the 50% middle bracket of the yellow ascending channel as well so a day of indecision maybe.

🔴 BEARISH

If we start drop levels today, namely the 50 day MA, the support box below and then the quantum reactor we will be heading down to 72-73k where the lower part of this ascending channel lies, and these levels will them become very important as to whether we remain in an uptrend of not currently. Its heating up and we need buyers to step in soon.

📋 SUMMARY

Bitcoin bouncing off the 73-74k support zone but the structure looks weak — lower high formed, RSI turned down, price below the 50-day MA. Bulls need a higher low then a clean break above the OB and 50-day to confirm. Today’s first full-volume session after bank holiday is the real test. Buyers need to show up.

WE ALSO NOW HAVE A FULL BTC REPORT AVAILABLE IN HACKERS FOR THE DAY - WHAT MAY HAPPEN LATER / KEY INSIGHTS - COME AND JOIN AND FIND MY CHANNEL SECTION - CHAOSS

📰 TODAY’S KEY STORIES

💚 When Bitcoin Gets Ignored, It Tends To Rally The Hardest

Analyst thesis: BTC historically makes its sharpest moves from positions of maximum crowd indifference. The sell-side risk ratio is hitting historic lows — a pattern seen before the 2020 and 2023 breakouts. On-chain data shows quiet accumulation beneath the surface. The ignored bid may be the real one.

🔴 Spot Bitcoin ETFs Lose $1.257B in a Week — What’s Going On?

Six consecutive days of outflows from US spot BTC ETFs totalling $1.257B — heaviest weekly drain since January. IBIT shed the majority alone. May has now flipped net negative. Analysts split: retail capitulation or real-money rotation? $6.25B options expiry on May 29 adds another layer of pressure this week.

🔴 Bitcoin Price Recovery Looks Fragile — Another Drop May Follow

Multiple analysts flag the current bounce structure as weak — lower high in place, RSI turning negative, and price failing to reclaim the 50-day MA on volume. The ascending channel provides a floor but not a launch pad. A re-test of the 73-74k zone is the path of least resistance if buyers don’t show up today.

💚 Cathie Wood: Bitcoin Could Reach $750K to $1.2M Within Five Years

ARK Invest CEO told Fox Business her base case is $750,000 and bull case $1.2M by 2030. Institutional ETF adoption, corporate treasury demand, and post-halving supply squeeze are the drivers. ARK holds Bitcoin across multiple funds. Wood says the current drawdown is noise inside a structural super-cycle.

🟡 Asian Markets Trade Mixed as Bank Holiday Thins Global Volume

Asia came in mixed on Tuesday — ASX 200 holding modest gains, Japanese stocks softer. Thin US liquidity from the Memorial Day break muted global price action. Dollar edging higher into the open. Eyes now on New York’s return for the first full-volume session of the week.

🔴 Dollar Firms as US-Iran Strikes Spark Doubts Over Peace Deal

The dollar bounced after reports of US-Iran military activity cast doubt on nuclear peace negotiations. FX strategists note the peace risk premium had been aggressively unwound in May — any reversal re-prices risk-off across EM, commodities and crypto simultaneously. Oil spiked briefly before paring.

🟡 Bank of Japan to Monitor Middle East Developments for Rate Decisions

BoJ Deputy Governor Himino confirmed the bank is closely watching Middle East geopolitical developments and their potential impact on oil prices and global growth. Commodity inflation tail risk has re-entered the macro tape as a real consideration for the next policy review.

🔴 $3.2M Drained From Gnosis Safe Wallets via SquidRouterModule Exploit

Improper identity validation in a third-party module allowed an attacker to drain $3.2M from Gnosis Safe wallets across Ethereum and Avalanche in two hours. Blockaid identified the attacker as 0xa63BF. Squid clarified its primary contracts were not compromised. Multi-sig users urged to review module permissions immediately.

🔴 Kelp DAO: rsETH Fully Restored 5 Weeks After $293M Protocol Hack

Kelp DAO confirmed rsETH markets are fully operational after April’s $293M exploit via the SquidRouterModule smart contract flaw. All rsETH was returned. The incident raises wider DeFi infrastructure architecture questions about third-party module dependencies.

🔵 BNB Chain Launches Agent Survival Pack for Autonomous AI Payments

BNB Chain’s new framework enables AI agents to settle their own transaction fees on-chain without human involvement. Over 350,000 BEP-6551 agents now deployed. Agents pay their own bills on-chain directly — a step toward fully autonomous AI-to-AI economic activity at scale.

🔵 Anthropic AI Flags 23,000 Vulnerabilities Across 1,000 Open Source Projects

Claude Mythos Preview confirmed 23,000+ flaws in widely-used open-source infrastructure including crypto protocols. Of those, 1,735 were rated critical or high severity with a 74.7% verification rate. Traditional security tools had missed these flaws for years. Blockchain infrastructure was among the affected areas.

💚 SUI Gains Institutional Visibility Through Grayscale’s Latest ETF

Grayscale added SUI to its Digital Large Cap Fund — giving the Mysten Labs Layer 1 its first institutional-grade index exposure. SUI recently passed its market confidence test and momentum indicators are now flipping bullish. Growing institutional interest in non-EVM L1 infrastructure.

💚 Hyperliquid Flips Dogecoin — Now the No.8 Crypto by Market Cap

HYPE token’s market cap overtook DOGE, making Hyperliquid the 8th-largest crypto asset. Driven by record DEX volumes, growing perpetuals market share, and validator upgrades. A fully on-chain derivatives exchange now sitting above a memecoin legend in the rankings.

💚 Bittensor Activates Dynamic TAO — Rewiring Emissions for Real Capital Flows

Bittensor’s Dynamic TAO framework went live, replacing flat emission rewards with AI-native capital-flow scoring across 128 subnets. TAO holders can now redirect stake weight to subnets demonstrating measurable output — a fundamental shift in how decentralised AI networks incentivise compute.

📊 FEAR & GREED READ

Fear and Greed at 34. Up slightly from 30 yesterday but still deep in Fear territory. The chart is giving mixed signals — we bounced well off the 73-74k support box which is constructive, but we made a lower high tapping into the order block and the RSI has turned down. We are still below the 50-day MA which is acting as a ceiling right now. Bank holiday volume muted what could have been a more decisive candle yesterday.

Today we get the first proper full-volume session and that is where we find out if buyers are actually there. If we see a higher low form and then a push through the OB and 50-day, the bull scenario is very much alive. If we start to lose ground below the support box, then 72-73k at the bottom of the ascending channel is the next conversation. Zoom call this morning for the community. Come and join us.

Stay safe out there. See you tomorrow. — Chaoss & the ChartHackers team

Not Financial Advice — Come and join us at https://charthackers.com

## TLDR Summary

BTC has bounced off the new 73-74k support zone we marked on Sunday and is coming into the order block and POC right now, with the 50-day moving average in play as the spring point. The RSI has just turned green and the cash flow is curling up from deep red toward the zero line — those are the confluence signals to watch today. Volume is lower thanks to the partial bank holiday across the US, UK, Hong Kong and South Korea, so a clean range between support and the OB is absolutely on the cards, which would give the alts time to catch up. Macro tape: $1.26B in BTC ETF outflows last week, ETH ETF outflows hit 10 straight days, Bank of America has gone Bitcoin-only, Jane Street rotated $82M into ETH, and the CLARITY Act cleared Senate Banking 15-9.

Your daily BTC Summary & Chart

🟢 BULLISH

Yesterday, Bitcoin established a support level in line with the wick and cluster from Mid April, down at 73-74k, and so far we have bounced off that well. We have an order block and POC that we are coming into now as well, using the 50-day moving average to hopefully spring from this level and push on up. The RSI has just turned green and the cashflow is coming from a deep red and heading up towards the positive side of the 0 line.

🟡 NEUTRAL

With the newly established support level below and the order block above, price can simply range between these two levels today. We have less volume today due to partial bank holiday around the world so this is absolutely on the cards if they wish. This can of course give the alts time to catch up which would be a nice feeling.

🔴 BEARISH

We have established a new diagonally downward-facing trend line from the recent high at 82,000. If we reject here and head down to support again, we will be testing that trend line in a bearish way as resistance, there is also the possibility that RSI can roll over here and form a potential large divergence.

📋 SUMMARY

We are right at a middle ground today with the cash flow and the RSI and the POC and the 50-day moving average as well as an order block which we are coming into now. With less volume in the market today, this will just be one of those days where we have to watch closely and see what trades come later. I will be watching the cash flow most of all today.

WE ALSO NOW HAVE A FULL BTC REPORT AVAILABLE IN HACKERS FOR THE DAY - WHAT MAY HAPPEN LATER / KEY INSIGHTS - COME AND JOIN AND FIND MY CHANNEL SECTION - CHAOSS

📰 TODAY’S KEY STORIES

🟡 Bitcoin Climbs Into $77K Resistance As Bears Defend the Trend Line

BTC built a base above $76k and reclaimed $76,500 and the 100-hourly SMA. Bears are active near $77,000 with a bearish trend line forming at $77,050. Hourly MACD is gaining in the bullish zone and RSI is above 50. A close above $77,450 opens $79k; failure here points back to $75,650.

💚 Sentiment: $1.26B BTC ETF Outflows Are a Contrarian Buy Signal

Sentiment reads last week’s ETF outflows as a counter-indicator — ETFs disproportionately reflect retail conviction, not smart money. Retail capitulated after BTC failed at $80k. ETF analyst James Seyffart adds that BTC ETFs are now near their all-time cumulative inflow peak, with new ETF launches still in the pipeline.

🔴 Van de Poppe: Failure to Reclaim $76,600 Keeps $60K Target Alive

Michaël van de Poppe argues BTC must reclaim $76,600 to keep the bull thesis intact. Lose it, and the $60k downside target becomes realistic again. CME futures show several unfilled gaps above price, including one above $79k. Polymarket assigns 51% odds BTC touches $55k at some point in 2026.

🟡 Dollar Weakens, Asia FX Firms on US-Iran Peace Hopes

DXY softened Monday as Asian FX caught a bid on encouraging signals from a possible US-Iran nuclear framework. Trump said the parties have agreed terms; Iran disputes specifics. Bank holiday in the US, UK, Hong Kong and South Korea muted the full reaction but risk assets quietly firmed.

🔴 Bitcoin ETFs Bleed $1.26B in Heaviest Weekly Drain Since January

12 US spot BTC ETFs shed $1.26B last week — the biggest weekly drain since 29 January. Six straight outflow days. IBIT lost $1.01B on its own. May has now flipped red. Cumulative net inflows pulled back to $57.1B; total net assets sit at $98.9B.

🔴 Ethereum ETFs Hit 10 Straight Days of Outflows — Longest Streak Since March 2025

Spot ETH ETFs logged $216M in combined outflows last week and a 10-day red streak — the longest since March 2025. Cumulative inflows now sit just $223M above net assets, a narrow cushion. ETH remained capped near $2,130 even when price held steady — the bid is thin.

🟡 Bank of America Pivots Bitcoin-Only — IBIT Now 70% of Crypto Book, ETH/SOL Cut

BofA’s Q1 13F: IBIT holdings up to ~$37M, now nearly 70% of the bank’s crypto exposure. ETH and SOL ETF allocations cut. Also owns 3.96M MSTR shares (~$660M). Morgan Stanley, JPMorgan and Goldman all expanded BTC ETF positions in Q1 — the institutional Bitcoin-only thesis is hardening across Wall Street.

💚 Ethereum Climbs Above $2,100 — Jane Street Rotates $82M Into ETH ETFs, Cuts BTC 71%

ETH +2.55% to $2,117 on the day, outperforming BTC. Jane Street reallocated approximately $82M into ETH ETFs in Q1 while cutting its BTC ETF exposure by 71%. Altcoin Season Index up 25.81% on the week. Trading volume up 14.36% to $16.06B. A quiet rotation is underway.

💚 CLARITY Act Advances 15-9 in Senate Banking — But ETF Flows Stay Red

H.R. 3633 (Digital Asset Market Clarity Act) cleared Senate Banking 15-9 on 14 May. The legislative win didn’t move the needle on flows — spot BTC ETFs went deeply negative in the same week. The thesis that legal clarity unlocks institutional capital just got stress-tested.

🟡 Bitcoin Holds $76K Support — $6.25B Options Expiry Looms May 29

BTC tested $76k twice and held both times this week — the first credible support signal in a month. $6.25B of Deribit BTC options settle on 29 May. Max pain near $75k. Tom Lee: a monthly close above $76,300 maintains the rare “three consecutive monthly gains never preceded a bear market” pattern.

🔵 Is Cardano Too Cheap to Ignore? — Trades at $0.25, Down 90% From ATH

Cardano trades at $0.25, down more than 90% from its all-time high. $8.8B market cap, still top-15 by rank. Motley Fool flags the cheap multiple as a rebound candidate but warns the project has failed to deliver as an Ethereum challenger as Solana has eaten its lunch.

🔵 Worldcoin Reclaims $1B Market Cap — WLD Sets Sights at $0.30 Next

WLD recovered above the $1B market cap mark, up 24% week-on-week. CryptoQuant shows whale spot demand rotated back in — average order size jumped from $4-5k to the mid-$8k range. If buy pressure holds, the next resistance level analysts flag sits at $0.30.

🟡 Australian Market Swings to Notable Gains Mid-Session — ASX 200 +0.59%

ASX 200 added 52.3 points to 8,909.40 after a low of 8,832.60, with the broader Ordinaries up 37.20 to 9,166.50. Banks led: Westpac and ANZ both up 0.4%, Macquarie up 0.5%. Mining mixed; energy softer. AUD at $0.7702. Risk-on tone held into Asia.

🟡 SPX at the “Gap of Hope” — 6K Watch as US on Memorial Day Break

SPX retraced into the May “gap of hope” zone right as US cash markets close for Memorial Day. The equity bid is still constructive but Monday will be thin. The cross-asset read for crypto: macro remains the swing factor; the full reaction lands on Tuesday’s open.

📊 FEAR & GREED READ

💬 F&G at 30 — Fear. Up a touch from yesterday’s 28, but still firmly in Fear territory. The chart, however, is telling a more constructive story than the sentiment number. We bounced off the new 73-74k support box, the RSI has just turned green, and the cash flow is curling up from deep red toward the zero line. We are coming into the order block and POC right now, with the 50-day MA in play as the spring point. The neutral case is a straight range between support and the OB, which a bank-holiday Monday absolutely supports — and that would give the alts a chance to catch up. The bear case is a rejection off the new diagonal trend line down from 82k, with the added risk of an RSI rollover and divergence forming. My read: middle ground today. Watch the cash flow above all. Let the candles print. We will be in Discord all day. Stay safe out there. — Chaoss

🛠️ NEW TOOLS AT CHARTHACKERS.COM

New tools now available at charthackers.com — come and sign up to get your edge.

Stay safe out there, see you tomorrow. — Chaoss & the ChartHackers team

Not Financial Advice — Come and join us at https://charthackers.com

## TLDR Summary

BTC bounced off the new 73-74k support zone we marked yesterday and is heading back up into the POC and bullish OB this morning. RSI and cash flow look absolutely primed to the upside, and the 200-day MA is the next target above. Weekend volume is lower but Alts could push, and Monday is a bank holiday in parts of the world. The bear case is a rejection off the new diagonal trend line down from the $82k high, sending us back to retest support. Macro is busy — Trump close to an Iran nuclear deal, $1.26B ETF outflows last week, Goldman dumping XRP and Solana ETFs, Harvard exits ETH, and BlackRock’s staking ETH ETF (ETHB) is live.

Your BTC Chart & Potential Outlooks for the day.

🟢 BULLISH

We established a support level yesterday in line with the wick and cluster towards the left, down at 73-74k, and so far we have bounced off that well. New box marked out. As we head up into the POC and bullish OB this morning we are aware of lower weekend volume but at the same time are looking for continuation back up to the 200 day MA. RSI and cashflow look absolutely primed today to the upside so we will watch closely.

🟡 NEUTRAL

With the newly established support level below and the order block above, price can simply range between these two levels over the remaining part of the weekend, which might inspire the Alts to start another small push today. Consider the fact that there is a bank holiday in parts of the world tomorrow as well.

🔴 BEARISH

We have established a new diagonally downward-facing trend line from the recent high at 82,000. If we reject here and head down to support again, we will be testing that trend line in a bearish way as resistance.

📋 SUMMARY

Looking at the momentum oscillator and taking into account where the cash flow and RSI are, it would be a fair assumption to try to look for support level longs today, but we must first see what the 50 day MA does. Let’s keep a close eye on this today and make our decision as the candles print.

WE ALSO NOW HAVE A FULL BTC REPORT AVAILABLE IN HACKERS FOR THE DAY - WHAT MAY HAPPEN LATER / KEY INSIGHTS - COME AND JOIN AND FIND MY CHANNEL SECTION - CHAOSS

📰 TODAY’S KEY STORIES

🟡 Bitcoin Holds $76K Support Twice This Week — $6.25B Options Expiry Looms May 29

BTC tested $76k twice and held both times — the first credible support signal in nearly a month. $6.25B in BTC options settle on Deribit May 29, and max pain sits near $75k. A daily close above $78k confirms the rebound; a fall back below $76k reopens the door to $74.5k.

🔴 $941M Liquidation Wave as BTC Slices Below $75K — Demand Fracture Exposed

$941M in derivative positions were wiped across 161,200 traders in 24 hours, with BTC dipping to $74,255 before reclaiming the zone. CryptoQuant flags spot demand contracting at the fastest pace since January. The flush looked more like a reset than capitulation, but the structure underneath is thin.

🟡 Trump Close to Signing Significant Nuclear Deal With Iran: Axios

Polymarket odds for a Trump-Iran nuclear agreement before October sit at 48%. Axios reports the administration is closer than at any point since talks resumed. De-escalation would lower the oil risk premium — Hormuz disruption feeds straight into inflation and the risk-asset bid.

🔴 StabIR Stablecoin Contracts Exploited for Over $3M in EURR and USDR

European stablecoin issuer StabIR confirmed an exploit on Saturday hitting its EURR and USDR contracts. Roughly $3M moved through the official Circle Transfer Protocol. Stablecoin trust takes another knock right as Brussels rolls out fresh MiCA enforcement.

🔴 Bitcoin ETFs Bleed $1.26B in Heaviest Weekly Drain Since January

12 US spot BTC ETFs lost $648.6M on Monday alone — the sharpest single-day exit since 29 January. The six-day outflow streak began 15 May. Funds still hold $98.9B in net assets, but the spot bid has visibly thinned.

🔴 Goldman Sachs Dumps XRP and Solana ETFs, Cuts Ethereum Holdings 70%

Goldman completely exited spot XRP and Solana ETF positions and slashed its ETH ETF exposure by 70% in Q1. BTC ETFs untouched. The message to the market: altcoin ETF allocations are not permanent capital.

🔴 Harvard Dumps Full Ethereum ETF Stake as ETH Hovers Near $2,000

Harvard endowment cleared out its entire ETH ETF position in Q1. Not a trim — a full exit. The signal matters more than the supply: when an endowment that size walks away while ETH grinds the $2,000 line, other institutions on the fence start running the same math.

💚 BlackRock ETHB Goes Live — Second Staking ETH ETF on US Market

BlackRock launched ETHB after the SEC and CFTC issued a joint release classifying staking rewards as non-securities. Net yield is 1.9-2.6% on top of price exposure. Five issuers waiting in the queue. Non-staking ETH ETFs are now structurally inferior.

💚 Ethereum’s $530M ETF Bid Is Turning Every Pullback Into a Buy Signal

Spot ETH ETFs absorbed over $530M last week — five times the recent average — even as price stuck between $2,100 and $2,400. BlackRock’s ETHA and Fidelity’s FETH leading. A clean break above $2,404 with ETF demand holding flips the read from absorption to reversal.

🟡 Hyperliquid ETFs Absorb $57M in Five Days — Bitwise and 21Shares Lead

Hyperliquid investment products launched only days ago and have already pulled in $57M between 18-22 May. Bitwise’s BHYP and 21Shares’ THYP are both accelerating, and the token has rallied above $60. Institutional appetite for perp infrastructure isn’t waiting on the broader market to recover.

🟡 JPMorgan: ETH and Altcoins May Keep Lagging BTC Without Network Growth

JPMorgan’s Panigirtzoglou team says BTC ETFs have recovered two-thirds of post-sell-off outflows; ETH ETFs only about one-third. CME futures show the same divergence. The lag closes only when DeFi and real-world usage measurably grow.

🔵 XRP ETFs Pull $22M Inflows in Week BTC and ETH Both Bled

Franklin’s XRPZ led with a $9.47M session on 22 May. Canary’s XRPC and Bitwise’s XRP fund both contributed steady positive flows. The altcoin ETF rotation is real, not anecdotal.

🟡 Material Indicators: $76.5K Bid Liquidity Was Rugged — Watch the Order Book Reload

Material Indicators confirmed bid liquidity at $76.5k was pulled exactly as predicted, and low-time-frame order flow has rolled over. The team noted they’re “surprised” any bid liquidity below spot has held. Watch the order book reload before assuming a clean bounce.

🔵 2 Stocks With Monster Potential for the Next Decade — Alphabet Leads

Motley Fool flags Alphabet as a complete AI play — Gemini, custom TPUs, YouTube, Cloud, and Waymo all under one roof. Trades at a cheaper multiple than peers despite the stack. The long crypto thesis tracks the same risk-on liquidity cycle that funds AI capex.

📊 FEAR & GREED READ

💬 F&G at 28 — Fear. Still red, still in the same zone we’ve been in for nearly a week. But the chart underneath the sentiment number is telling a different story this morning. We bounced cleanly off the new 73-74k support box, RSI and cash flow are both primed to the upside, and we are heading back into the POC and the bullish OB. The 200-day MA is the target above. The neutral case is a simple range between support and the OB that lets the Alts catch a small Sunday push. The bear case is a rejection off the new diagonal trend line down from 82k that sends us back to retest support. My read: look for support level longs today, but wait on the 50-day MA to confirm before sizing up. Let the candles print. We will be in Discord all day. Stay safe out there. — Chaoss

🛠️ NEW TOOLS AT CHARTHACKERS.COM

New tools now available at charthackers.com — come and sign up to get your edge.

See you tomorrow. — Chaoss & the ChartHackers team

Not Financial Advice — Come and join us at https://charthackers.com

## TLDR Summary

BTC has swept the 50-day MA and is sitting on an order block at $75,529 as weekend volume kicks in. The RSI and cash flow are both showing signs of bottoming — if they curl up together this gives real confluence for a bounce back toward the POC. The bears need to crack this level to push us toward 72.5k and the channel base. Either way, it’s a watch-and-wait weekend. Macro is busy — new Fed chair confirmed, Iran tensions rising, and Polymarket got hit with an exploit.

Todays Look at Bitcoin and the possible directions we can head in.

🟢 BULLISH

Price has been pulling back since the POC and recent order block we found ourself forming, and has now reached the next level down. We’re still inside the ascending yellow channel and we have now swept the 50 day MA too. If price can bounce at this order block and MA sweep back up toward the POC and allow the RSI which has bottomed, to turn and start heading up then we can potentially retest that prior week high zone. The cash flow is also a deep red and we would look for this to level out now in line with RSI data.

🟡 NEUTRAL

Weekend volume has now set in and people are trading less until Monday, and in some parts of the world, Tuesday, due to bank holidays. There is a possibility that we simply bounce between these two order blocks until then. This will give time for the RSI to actually form a proper bottom, curl up and form a potential divergence. Keep an eye on the Scanner.

🔴 BEARISH

We’ve already lost the previous week’s low level and rejected from the POC and OB. If we lose this order block then the next level down is the 100-day MA and the yellow ascending channel line at 72.5k. Keep your eyes on this zone. If we do tap it, there will be an excellent logging opportunity.

WE ALSO NOW HAVE A FULL BTC REPORT AVAILABLE IN HACKERS FOR THE DAY - WHAT MAY HAPPEN LATER / KEY INSIGHTS - COME AND JOIN AND FIND MY CHANNEL SECTION - CHAOSS

⚠️ BREAKING

🔴 Polymarket Exploited — Attackers Drain $600k in $POL Every 30 Seconds

Bubblemaps flagged active exploitation of a Polymarket contract, with attackers removing 5,000 $POL every 30 seconds. Polymarket later confirmed it was a private-key compromise of an internal operations wallet. User funds and market resolution are safe.

📰 TODAY’S KEY STORIES

🟡 Kevin Warsh Confirmed as 17th Fed Chair — Brings Crypto-Friendly Stance to the Top

The US Senate confirmed Kevin Warsh 54-45. He holds positions in over 30 crypto projects and is now the first Federal Reserve Chair with documented direct crypto exposure. Takes the oath on 22 May, succeeding Jerome Powell.

🔴 US Military Cancels Memorial Day Plans Amid Iran Tensions

Pentagon cancels holiday plans as Trump administration prepares for possible strikes on Iran. The Strait of Hormuz carries one-fifth of world petroleum — disruption feeds directly into inflation expectations and risk assets.

🟡 Spot ETF Outflows Break Six-Week Streak as Geopolitical Risk Rises

Spot BTC ETF outflows ended a six-week inflow run. Macro uncertainty around the new Fed chair and escalating Middle East tensions weighed on institutional sentiment. ETF flow reversal vs price holding is the key watch.

💚 Bank of America Boosts Bitcoin ETF Stake, Cuts ETH and SOL Exposure

BofA increased its iBit stake to roughly $37M in Q1 while reducing positions in ETH and SOL funds. Growing institutional confidence in BTC-only regulated products.

💚 SEC Approves Nasdaq’s Bitcoin Index Options Ahead of Deadline

SEC approved Nasdaq’s plan to list Bitcoin index options — cash-settled, no direct BTC ownership needed. Analysts expect growing interest from hedge funds and professional investors.

💚 White House Ends Unnecessary Crypto Regulations — Trump Signs Executive Order

President Trump signed an Executive Order on 19 May directing regulators to reassess rules that hinder digital asset integration into traditional finance. Broad green light for institutional crypto adoption.

🔴 Ethereum Researchers Resign En Masse — Is It Extremely Bearish for ETH?

Core Ethereum researchers resigned. Harvard exits ETH, Bankless unravels, researcher departures stack up. Market cap fell from roughly $584B to roughly $260B. ETH still can’t reclaim $2,150.

🔴 ETH Hits Critical $2,100-$2,166 Zone — Will Buyers Finally Step In?

$1.7B in liquidations loom. Supply to exchanges increasing. Mixed exchange flow signals. Bulls need a strong hold and reversal here to confirm anything.

🟡 Bitcoin Longs at Highest Since 2023, But Spot Demand Weakens

LTH inflows rising but spot buying weak. Whales moved BTC back to exchanges after buying near $78K. Futures longs vs spot demand divergence is the tell.

🟡 Bitcoin Just Triggered a Rare Exchange Flow Setup — What History Says

BTC approaching the 50-day MA zone for the sixth time since 2018. Exchange flows entered a rare pattern historically preceding sustained moves. Direction signal expected early next week.

🔴 XRP’s Leverage Build-Up Reaches Critical Levels

XRP open interest building toward $500M. High leverage means any sharp move becomes explosive — cascading liquidations could dominate the next leg.

🔵 Grayscale Moves Closer to Launch Hyperliquid ETF

Third amended S-1 filed for a proposed Hyperliquid ETF. Multiple competitors expected to file soon. Growing institutional interest in DeFi-adjacent regulated products.

🔵 Nvidia Crushes Earnings But Stock Falls — AI Supercycle Still Running

Nvidia Q1 revenue rose 85% YoY to $81.6B. Management raised the dividend 25-fold and authorised an $80B buyback. Stock still fell roughly 2% — AI optimism is already heavily priced in.

📊 FEAR & GREED READ

💬 F&G at 28 — Fear. Still red. Still the same zone we’ve been in for days. And honestly, it fits. We’ve swept the 50-day MA, we’re on an order block, weekend volume has dropped off. The RSI and cash flow are both pointing toward a potential bottom forming here — and if they curl up together, the bounce has real confluence. But losing this zone sends us to 72.5k. Don’t force anything this weekend. Let the setup confirm or reject and keep watching price action. We’ll be in Discord all weekend. Stay safe out there. — Chaoss

🛠️ NEW TOOLS AT CHARTHACKERS.COM

New tools now available at charthackers.com — come and sign up to get your edge.

Stay safe out there & see you tomorrow. — Chaoss & the ChartHackers team

Not Financial Advice — Come and join us at https://charthackers.com

---

## TLDR Summary

BTC is sitting at $77,727 — right in the middle of its ascending channel with no clear directional conviction on the 4H. The market is ranging between two order blocks and the multi-timeframe read is mostly neutral, with a slight bearish lean on the weekly. The big story today is SpaceX revealing $1.46B in Bitcoin holdings ahead of its June 12 IPO. The ARMA bill is pushing for a strategic Bitcoin reserve to be enshrined in law. F&G at 28 — still in Fear territory. Watch the EMA cluster at $78,100–$78,328: bulls need it back, bears need $76K to crack. Until one side commits, expect more of the same.

WE ALSO NOW HAVE A FULL BTC REPORT AVAILABLE IN HACKERS FOR THE DAY - WHAT MAY HAPPEN LATER / KEY INSIGHTS - COME AND JOIN AND FIND MY CHANNEL SECTION - CHAOSS

📊 BTC Scenarios

🟢 BULLISH

Price has been making its way down to the 50-day moving average and that support block just below at 75k. Zooming into the 2 hour timeframe today we can see that price is slowly making its way back up since the low yesterday and has set a short term trend, marked out by the line. There’s an order block just above so we would need to crack through this and use it as support to set a bullish bias now.

🟡 NEUTRAL

Just looking at the two price measurement tools that I put in place yesterday, we are still equidistant between the top and bottom of this ascending channel. There are also two order blocks, one below and one above, which we may continue to range between. For the time being this would set a neutral bias.

🔴 BEARISH

We have the 50-day moving average and the previous week’s low just below the current trend line we are sitting on. If we were to lose this level and re-test and potentially head to the order block below, and then we lose that, the next bearish case would be the 100 day MA below and then the bottom of this channel — this is just short term bearish as long as we are inside this channel we can still remain overall bullish with a healthy retrace taking place, although it’s worth pointing out the bears would absolutely love this.

Summary: Just like every other week, this is the most important week in crypto. We will need to watch closely and keep an eye on what the charts are doing. Be sure to stay tuned.

📰 TODAY’S KEY STORIES

💚 Bitcoin · Macro

SpaceX Reveals $1.46B Bitcoin Holdings Ahead of Historic IPO Launch

SpaceX holds 18,712 BTC — worth $1.46 billion — as it files its S-1 registration ahead of a June 12 IPO. Combined with Tesla’s 11,509 BTC, the Musk empire’s Bitcoin exposure is one of the largest in the corporate world. The disclosure puts SpaceX firmly among the biggest institutional Bitcoin holders on the planet going into what could be the biggest IPO in history.

💚 Bitcoin · Regulation

ARMA Bill Aims to Enshrine Strategic Bitcoin Reserve Into Law for 20 Years

Reps. Nick Begich and Jared Golden introduced the American Reserve Modernization Act, directing the Treasury to create and hold a Bitcoin reserve for at least 20 years. The bill formally codifies a core Trump administration promise — it’s faced legislative hurdles but momentum is building.

💚 Bitcoin · Regulation

Trump’s Executive Order Pressures Banks to Adopt Bitcoin

BitGo’s Luis Ayala says Trump’s exec order mandating a government review of fintech and crypto rules is effectively forcing traditional banks toward Bitcoin integration. He calls it a “wake-up call” — institutions sitting on the sidelines risk losing ground to fintech competitors moving faster.

💚 Macro · Regulation

Wall Street Went to War With Crypto. It’s Losing.

Republicans in Congress are on the verge of passing a bipartisan crypto bill — a striking reversal for an industry that spent years fighting banking sector lobbying. Banks poured hundreds of millions into Washington to stop this. The bill is moving anyway. Wall Street is on the wrong side of history here.

🔴 Regulation · EU · MiCA

EU to Review MiCA as 80% of Crypto Firms Vanish in Compliance Cull

Only 12 of 200 CASPs in Cyprus have secured MiCA authorisation. The European Commission launched a formal consultation to review MiCA’s functioning, with high compliance costs and Tether’s absence as the headline issues. 80% of crypto firms simply couldn’t make it through.

🟡 XRP · Breakout Watch

XRP Eyes Monster Breakout — But the $1.51 Barrier Still Stands

Analyst Matt Hughes says XRP is quietly building a powerful breakout structure, with a major price expansion approaching. The $1.51 resistance zone is the final barrier — a decisive close above would, according to Hughes, trigger XRP’s next parabolic rally. Watch that level carefully.

🟡 Ethereum · Breakout Watch

Ethereum Eyes Breakout Move — Key Resistance Closely Watched

ETH is approaching a key upside resistance zone with multiple technicals suggesting a breakout attempt is imminent. Traders are watching for a clean close above resistance and a flip to support — the signal that would confirm a fresh uptrend is forming.

🔵 Crypto · Coinbase · Derivatives

Coinbase Launches Thematic Perpetual Contracts: AI, China, US Security Sectors

Coinbase is bringing perpetual-style equity index futures to crypto starting June 8, with contracts tracking the Nasdaq 100, US defence, Chinese ADRs, and the Nasdaq AI 100. No expiry dates — Wall Street-style sector exposure wrapped in crypto. This is a big move.

🔵 Macro · SpaceX · IPO

SpaceX Eyes $1.5T IPO Valuation — Could Make Musk First Trillionaire

Prediction markets give SpaceX a 97.2% probability of completing its IPO by June 30, 2026 — up from 95% the prior day. The $1.5T valuation report plus a 98.4% probability of exceeding a $1T market cap is drawing serious institutional attention. IPO is June 12.

🔵 Macro · AI · Tech

Nvidia CEO: AI Will Be a Multitrillion-Dollar Industry With “Very Clear ROI”

Jensen Huang is projecting $3–4 trillion in global AI infrastructure spending by decade’s end, citing a $1 trillion order backlog as proof. He frames agentic AI — systems that plan, reason, and act — as a multi-trillion-dollar opportunity. This capital flows into tech markets and broader risk assets.

🔵 Crypto · Coinbase

Coinbase Enables Full Trading for WRON-USD, NEX-USD, and USDC Pairs

Wrapped Ronin and Nexus have graduated to full order-book status on Coinbase with market, limit, stop, and stop orders live. Coinbase continues its aggressive push to become the most pair-dense exchange in the market.

🔵 Macro · Geopolitical

Iran and US Reach Final Draft of Nuclear Deal Through Pakistani Mediation

The US–Iran nuclear deal is progressing with a final draft reportedly reached via Pakistani diplomatic mediation. Prediction markets at 31.5% probability by June 30. Geopolitical de-escalation here could ease oil prices and reduce the macro risk premium that’s been weighing on crypto.

💬 F&G Read — Chaoss

Fear and Greed came in at 28 today. Still fear. Still red. And honestly, that’s where we’ve been sitting for a few days now.

The market hasn’t decided anything yet. BTC is at the channel midpoint. The ascending channel is still intact and that’s the bigger picture bullish structure you need to hold onto right now. But short-term, we need to see the EMA cluster at $78,100 to $78,328 flip back to support. Until we do that, the pressure is pointing downward.

The bears need $76,000 to crack to get real momentum. Stochastics are in oversold territory on the 1H and 4H — that usually means a bounce attempt is coming. Just like every other week, this is the most important week in crypto. Watch closely and stay with us in Discord.

🛠️ NEW TOOLS AT CHARTHACKERS.COM

New tools now available at charthackers.com — come and sign up to get your edge. Live signals, BTC analysis, trade ideas, and daily Hackers Daily delivered every morning.

https://charthackers.com

Stay safe out there. See you tomorrow. — Chaoss & the ChartHackers team

Not Financial Advice — Come and join us at https://charthackers.com

TLDR Summary

BTC is sitting exactly at the midpoint of the extended marked out price channel — 8.5% space in either direction, no clear edge yet. The macro picture is complex: ETF flows snapped a six-week inflow streak with over $1 billion in outflows as Iran fears rattled institutional risk appetite, and Fed rate hike odds have flipped to 54% for December after Kevin Warsh was confirmed as the new hawkish Fed Chair.

On the other side, Trump’s Iran deal talks pushed oil back below $100, markets rallied hard, and Nvidia smashed earnings with a $58bn profit and $80bn buyback — the kind of risk-on signal crypto needs. We can see bullish divergences on the oscillator and momentum turning green close to the 50-day MA below, but we haven’t touched that level yet. Stay close, stay patient, see you in Discord.

📊 BTC 4H Scenarios

🟢 BULLISH

Price has been making its way down to the 50-day moving average and that support block just below at 75k. We can see that there have been bullish divergences on the oscillator and that the momentum has turned green. We will be looking for a bounce at this level in order to find ourselves pushing back up. Note we haven’t yet hit that level even though we have bounced.

🟡 NEUTRAL

Ive drawn a more extended price channel today (yellow lines) you can see we are EXACTLY at that 50% mark, there’s about 8.5% space above and below for price to move in either direction, long termm. Still neutral ground.

🔴 BEARISH

If we blow through the next support level to the downside at 75k, we can in theory go down to 70K and still remain positive, however we will catch that long painful trip down with the rest of the bears if it comes to it.

Dont forget in Discord we have a full BTC breakdown report for you too.

📰 Today’s Stories

💚 Nvidia Posts Record $58.3bn Profit Amid AI Chip Boom — $80bn Buyback Announced

Chip giant announces $80bn stock buyback scheme and dividend hike. Revenue hit $81.6bn (+85% YoY), data-centre surging 92% to $75.2bn. Profit up 200%+ year-on-year. Risk assets tend to follow Nvidia up — this is the kind of earnings print that historically unlocks risk-on flows into crypto.

🔴 Goldman Sachs: Global Oil Stockpiles Falling at Record Pace on War

Crude drawdowns hitting 8.7M barrels/day in May — nearly double the average since the Iran conflict began. Supply disruption through the Strait of Hormuz is keeping inflation alive, rate-cut hopes on ice, and macro pressure on crypto firmly in place.

🔴 Bitcoin ETF $1B+ Outflows — First Negative Week in Seven

Iran-driven risk-off ended the six-week inflow streak. BlackRock IBIT led with $448M in withdrawals. CoinShares tied the reversal explicitly to geopolitical risk. The $76K–$78K zone is now the line in the sand — hold here and it’s a macro air pocket; lose it and institutional de-risking has legs.

🔴 Fed Rate Hike Odds Flip to 54% for December — BTC Left Stranded at $77K

CME FedWatch reversed months of cut expectations. 10Y Treasury yield hit 4.67%, 30Y at 5.14%. The rate-cut cushion that propped BTC through April has vanished. Higher real rates raise the hurdle for every non-yielding asset — and BTC yields nothing.

🔴 Kevin Warsh Confirmed as Fed Chair 54-45 — Hawkish Lean Adds Pressure

Narrowest confirmation margin in modern Fed history. Warsh chairs the June 16–17 FOMC meeting and has historically leaned hawkish. Empire State Manufacturing came in hotter than expected. Inflation fears remain very much alive.

💚 Trump: US in Final Stages of Iran Talks — Markets Rally, Oil Retreats

WTI fell to $97.50 as deal hopes eased supply fears. S&P +70pts, Nasdaq +1.31%. Oil stabilising is the key unlock for Bitcoin — cooling energy prices ease inflation expectations and could fade rate hike odds back in BTC’s favour.

💚 Hyperliquid ETFs Record $25.5M Inflows Wednesday — HYPE Surges +17.3% to $55.91

The DEX derivatives platform is drawing serious institutional attention. Wednesday’s inflows follow $22.3M in early launch flows — analysts call it “good sign of organic interest” rather than speculative pump. Hyperliquid is having a genuine moment.

💚 Hyperliquid ETFs Draw $22.3M Early Inflows — “Good Sign of Organic Interest”

Early inflow data coming in ahead of expectations. HYPE’s performance is becoming one of the strongest altcoin stories of this cycle — worth watching closely.

🔵 Exa Labs Raises $250M for AI Search — Taking on OpenAI, Google, Anthropic

AI-native search startup secures a quarter-billion dollar round to challenge the incumbents. As AI demand drives Nvidia’s record earnings, the broader AI infrastructure build-out shows no signs of slowing. Crypto and AI continue to converge.

🔵 European Lenders Build Stablecoin Rails — Qivalis Hits 37 Banks in 15 Countries

The Qivalis consortium now spans 37 institutions across 15 countries, building shared stablecoin infrastructure for European banking. Traditional finance is quietly and steadily building the on-ramps that digital assets need for mass adoption.

💚 South Carolina Bans CBDCs, Protects Crypto Users and Bitcoin Miners — Senate Bill 163

SC joins the growing list of US states blocking government-issued digital currency while protecting miners and crypto holders. State-level pro-Bitcoin legislation is building a meaningful floor under the regulatory picture.

🔵 Plume Secures Bermuda License — World’s First Regulated Onchain Vault Manager

Real-world asset platform Plume becomes the first to operate a regulated onchain vault manager globally. Bermuda jurisdiction positions it ahead of incoming EU and US RWA frameworks.

🔵 EU Commission Opens MiCA Consultation for Stablecoins and DeFi Updates

Brussels is updating MiCA for stablecoins and decentralised finance. Europe is still building regulatory rails — a positive long-term signal for the ecosystem even as US policy developments dominate the short-term narrative.

🟡 Bitcoin Mining Hashprice Hits All-Time Low at $28.90/PH/Day

Post-halving revenue squeeze biting hard. “Mining Is Dead, Long Live the Miners.” Historically, miner capitulation events have preceded BTC price recoveries — worth watching for that signal.

🔴 Bitcoin Bounce Weakens — Downside Risks Rising, Base $76K, Resistance $78,300

On-chain analysts flag softening momentum. 30-day accumulator cohort anchors support at $76K. Resistance caps at $78,300. Spot CVD remains negative. A break of $75K opens the path to $70K–$72K.

🔵 Drift Protocol Insurance Fund Update — DeFi Recovery Post-Exploit

Drift Protocol provides a progress update on its insurance fund following a recent exploit. DeFi continues to rebuild trust and resilience — and the recovery trajectory matters for the broader sector narrative.

📉 Fear & Greed Index

F&G: 29 — Fear

”This is a very important time for everybody’s fingers to stay on the pulse. Make sure you hang with us in Discord and we’ll keep you up to date with what we are doing. See you there fam.” Chaoss, ChartHackers

Hackers Daily is published every morning by ChartHackers.

Not financial advice. Join the community at charthackers.com. See you tomorrow.

BTC is at $76,700 — holding MA50 Daily by a thread. The $76K confluence cluster sits directly below. All four timeframes remain Sell. Today is genuinely decisive. Here is your full morning brief.

🟢 BULLISH SCENARIO

Price is now making its way down to the 50-day moving average and that support block just below at 75k. We can see that there have been bullish divergences on the oscillator and that the momentum has turned green. We will be looking for a bounce at this level in order to find ourselves pushing back up. We are getting quite close to needing to bounce soon.

🟡 NEUTRAL SCENARIO

Similarly to yesterday but with updated levels, you can see a clear case if we bounce off this order block below and simply press up to the resistance zone above, and then hold and accumulate at this level, then this would be a neutral case where we simply range back n forth for a neutral play.

🔴 BEARISH SCENARIO

If we blow through the next support level to the downside at 75k, we then have a trend line which is longer-term down to 72k which will be our key line in the sand. Unless you are a bear this will feel quite painful.

WE ALSO NOW HAVE A FULL BTC REPORT AVAILABLE IN HACKERS FOR THE DAY - WHAT MAY HAPPEN LATER / KEY INSIGHTS - COME AND JOIN AND FIND MY CHANNEL SECTION - CHAOSS

⚠️ BREAKING

🔴 Bitcoin Price Slides Below $77,000 as ETF Exodus Tops $1 Billion

BTC has shed nearly $5,000 from its $82K high in a four-day losing streak driven by macro headwinds and accelerating institutional outflows. Total crypto market cap lost over $100 billion to $2.65 trillion. Liquidations hit $657M in 24 hours — 89% from long positions. The recovery narrative is under serious pressure at this level.

🔴 THORChain Freezes All Trading After Suspected $10M Exploit

THORChain froze all trading after a suspected $10M exploit drained one of its Asgard vaults across BTC, ETH, BNB Chain, and Base. Protocol-owned funds took the hit — user swaps were untouched. $RUNE is down 12% and cross-chain bridge security is back under the microscope. Another DeFi black eye at the worst possible time for sentiment.

💚 $70B Finland Pension Fund VARMA Buys $7.5M Bitcoin via MSTR

Finland’s $70 billion pension giant VARMA has purchased $7.5 million in Bitcoin exposure through Strategy (MSTR). Global pension funds are quietly and steadily accumulating BTC even during drawdowns. Institutional conviction at the sovereign level remains intact — and that is a significant bullish undercurrent beneath the macro noise.

📰 TODAY’S KEY STORIES

🔴 Markets Await the ‘Next Shoe to Drop’ in Middle East — SA Analyst

US equities closed lower Tuesday as Treasury yields rose and tech shares weakened. Nasdaq fell 0.8%, S&P 500 -0.6%, Dow -0.6%. Bond markets flashing increasing stress as inflationary pressures and rising US debt levels build. The Middle East remains a geopolitical wildcard that could accelerate the risk-off move further.

💚 BlackRock Boosts SMSTR Position 21% in Q1 — Adds 3.14 Million Shares Worth $535M

BlackRock added 3.14 million SMSTR shares in Q1, boosting their position by 21% to more than $535 million. Larry Fink is doubling down on Michael Saylor’s Strategy. Institutional conviction at the world’s largest asset manager remains firmly intact despite this week’s selling. This is the smart money making moves quietly.

🟡 XRP Hodlers Split as ETF Demand Weakens but $27 Long-Term Target Lives On

XRP sits at $1.38 immediate support with resistance at $1.40. Market sentiment is 89% bearish and institutional ETF demand has cooled. Short-term technicals are bearish across all moving averages. But long-range price models pointing to $27 remain in play for bulls. Two narratives pulling in opposite directions — patience required here.

🔵 SEC Preparing to Let Stocks Like NVDA and AAPL Trade on Blockchain 24/7 Like Crypto

The SEC is preparing to allow equities including Nvidia and Apple to trade on blockchain infrastructure around the clock, seven days a week. If implemented, this would be the most significant structural change to US equity markets in decades — a landmark regulatory tailwind for blockchain adoption and on-chain settlement infrastructure.

🔵 UK FCA and Bank of England Set Joint Vision for Wholesale Tokenisation

The UK’s FCA and Bank of England published a joint regulatory vision for tokenisation in wholesale financial markets, offering firms greater clarity to adopt blockchain technology with confidence. The UK is positioning itself as a pro-innovation digital assets jurisdiction at exactly the right moment in the global regulatory race.

🔵 Google Launches Gemini Spark: Always-On AI Agent With Crypto and DeFi Implications

Announced at Google I/O 2026, Gemini Spark is an always-on AI agent running 24/7 on cloud virtual machines, plugging natively into Gmail, Docs, Sheets, and third-party apps. Implications for crypto and DeFi as autonomous AI agents begin managing wallets, monitoring positions, and executing on-chain transactions at scale.

🟡 Bitcoin Miners Emerge as Power Brokers in AI Infrastructure Race — Bernstein

Bernstein is bullish on IREN, Riot, and CleanSpark, noting BTC miners collectively control 27GW of planned power and have signed over $90 billion in AI compute contracts. Bitcoin miners are rapidly repositioning as critical AI infrastructure providers. A structural opportunity that extends well beyond the halving cycle narrative.

🔵 Ethereum Better Positioned Than Bitcoin in Quantum Computing Era: Citi Report

Citi warns Bitcoin holders face greater quantum computing exposure than ETH holders. The core difference is governance — ETH’s flexible proof-of-stake structure allows faster protocol adaptation. ETH proponents call this a meaningful long-term structural advantage as Q-Day gets closer on the horizon.

🔵 Blockchain Association Warns FDIC Against Favoring Big Banks in Stablecoin Rules

The Blockchain Association urged the FDIC not to create stablecoin frameworks that disproportionately favor large banking institutions. Filed May 18: the group warned that overly restrictive GENIUS Act implementation could undermine competition and push stablecoin innovation offshore. This is an important regulatory battleground to watch.

🔵 SpaceX IPO Could Be Weeks Away — Alphabet and Nvidia Set to Benefit Most

SpaceX is advancing its IPO targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation — potentially the largest tech listing in history. Alphabet holds a 6% position worth over $100B. Nvidia is SpaceX’s primary GPU supplier. Two historic AI-era listings — SpaceX and OpenAI — could reshape capital flows across both tech and crypto this summer.

🔵 Google Revives Smart Glasses with Gemini-Powered Android XR Eyewear

Google announced Android XR smart glasses partnerships with Warby Parker and Gentle Monster at Google I/O 2026. Designed for directions, messaging, photo capture, and always-on Gemini AI assistance throughout the day. Google’s boldest push into consumer AI wearables since Glass — with Samsung confirmed as a hardware partner.

💬 F&G READ — CHAOSS

F&G at 27. Extreme Fear. BTC is holding MA50 at $76,727 which is mildly constructive given everything hitting at once today.

But the ETF outflows topping $1 billion is the big story. That is institutional money exiting — not retail panic — and it means the selling pressure has real layers to it. THORChain’s $10M exploit doesn’t help sentiment on DeFi either.

The positives: BlackRock adding $535M SMSTR, Finland’s pension buying BTC, and Stoch deeply oversold at 11.93/11.89 for a second consecutive day. That oversold reading is historically where squeezes begin.

The $76K cluster is the battleground. Hold it and we can squeeze toward the gap at $79.2K. Lose it and the order block at $75K is the last stand before $72.3K opens up.

Watch the 4H candle closes with us in Discord today. This one matters.

Stay safe out there. See you tomorrow. — Chaoss & the ChartHackers team

Not Financial Advice — Come and join us at https://charthackers.com

Another huge week in crypto today. Let’s see what Bitcoin and the news have got in store for us today.

🟢 BULLISH

Price is still below that mid support level at 77.5K, however if you take a look at the cash flow on the oscillator and the RSI and the fact that there are bullish multiple divergences present, and we have the 50-day moving average and a bullish order block here at 75.5K, there are obviously potentially reversal signs back up at this level coming up.

🟡 NEUTRAL

You can now see a clear case if we bounce off this order block below and simply press up to the resistance zone above, and then hold and accumulate at this level, then this would be a neutral case where we simply range back and forth for a neutral play.

🔴 BEARISH

If we blow through the next support level to the downside at 75K, we then have a trend line which is longer-term down to 72K which will be our key line in the sand. Unless you are a bear this will feel quite painful.

WE ALSO NOW HAVE A FULL BTC REPORT AVAILABLE IN HACKERS FOR THE DAY - WHAT MAY HAPPEN LATER / KEY INSIGHTS - COME AND JOIN AND FIND MY CHANNEL SECTION - CHAOSS

⚠️ BREAKING

🔴 Bitcoin Retail Activity Hits Record Low as Binance Inflows Plunge to Just 314 BTC

Binance retail inflows dropped to a record-low 314 BTC during Monday’s liquidation cascade — the smallest figure ever recorded on the exchange. When the small hands are fully out, the setup for a squeeze historically improves. Long-term holders remain unmoved. The question is what catalyst triggers the reversal.

🔴 Bitcoin Falls as ETF Outflows Spike — $661M Liquidation Cascade, $1B Exits in One Week

US spot Bitcoin ETFs shed over $1 billion in net outflows last week, snapping a six-week inflow streak worth $3.4 billion. A $661 million liquidation cascade (95% longs) swept the market as CPI hit 3.8% and PPI surged to 6%. Fed rate hike probability is now at 52% for 2026. Macro is back in the driving seat.

💚 Strategy Buys 24,869 BTC at $2.01B — Now Holds 843,738 BTC, Over 4% of Total Supply

Michael Saylor’s Strategy stepped into the liquidation cascade with a $2.01 billion purchase of 24,869 BTC, bringing total holdings to 843,738 BTC — more than 4% of Bitcoin’s eventual 21 million supply. A non-discretionary structural bid that supports the $75K–$77K zone regardless of short-term sentiment.

📰 TODAY’S KEY STORIES

💚 XRP Could Rally Soon: Institutional Funds Keep Flowing In as Citadel Joins the Race

Ripple secured $800 million in strategic funding at an $11.4 billion valuation — with Citadel now confirmed as a strategic investor. XRP processes $1.7 trillion in daily on-chain transactions. Analysts see a potential break above $1.55 this week if $1.41 support holds — a relative bright spot vs BTC’s macro-driven weakness.

🔴 Solana Drops to $83 as Longs Get Wiped Out — Is $80 Next for SOL?

SOL has printed 12 consecutive red days alongside $81 million in liquidations, predominantly longs. The $80 level is now the key battleground — a daily close below opens a move toward $75. The Solana ecosystem faces additional pressure as Toly backs a rival perpetuals DEX challenging Hyperliquid’s dominance.

🔵 Polymarket Surpasses Hyperliquid in Fees Over Past 24 Hours

Polymarket has overtaken Hyperliquid in 24-hour fee generation — a significant milestone for the prediction platform that became a household name during the 2024 US election. The broader prediction market sector is now estimated to be worth $20 billion in annual revenue. Zero-fee model, real revenue — Polymarket retains ~$573K in daily net income.

🟡 Aave Restores Lending Activity as Recovery Refills 170K Tokens After rETH Incident

Aave V3 has completed its neTH technical recovery plan, restoring WETH liquidity across Ethereum Core, Arbitrum, Base, Mantle, and Linea. “WETH now operates as normal across all affected V3 deployments.” DeFi lending is normalising — Aave TVL recovered above $6.6B in debt balances post-incident.

🟡 Hyperliquid Faces Fresh Solana Threat as Toly Backs New Perp DEX

Solana co-founder Toly has backed a new perpetuals DEX on Solana designed to challenge Hyperliquid. Combines Solana composability with execution speed. HYPE token faces dual pressure: SOL price weakness and structural competitive risk from the new entrant.

🔴 S&P 500 Rally Faces Pressure as Wall Street Warns of Inflation Risks

April CPI at 3.8% and PPI at 6% have collapsed the soft-landing thesis. Rate expectations are now the real battleground — traders are actively pricing multiple Fed rate hikes in response to the hottest inflation data in nearly three years. Higher rates compress equity and crypto multiples alike. The May 15 selloff was the tell.

🔵 Hedge Funds Boost Semiconductor Stocks to 19% of Market Exposure — Highest Level Ever Recorded

Hedge funds now have 19% of equity exposure in semiconductors — more than double the 7.5% historical average and the highest concentration in a single sector ever recorded. TSMC, Nvidia, and AMD dominate. Asia remains critical — supply chains run through Taiwan, South Korea, and Japan.

🔵 Circle Advocates for Programmable Money as Foundation for AI-Driven Commerce

Circle CEO Jeremy Allaire argues AI agents will need machine-speed money. Circle has launched its Agent Stack and C1 nanopayments protocol — gas-free USDC transactions at the sub-cent level. The vision: a self-contained economy where AI agents store value, execute contracts, and settle payments autonomously.

🔵 Elon Musk Loses Case Against OpenAI; SpaceX and OpenAI Eye Blockbuster Tech IPOs

A jury ruled Musk missed the legal deadline to bring claims against Sam Altman and OpenAI. Separately: SpaceX advancing IPO preparations at ~$1.75 trillion valuation, potentially listing as early as June. OpenAI also linked to an IPO. Two of the most consequential AI listings in history may be weeks away.

🟡 Dogecoin Could Be Setting Up For High-Beta Rally After Final Shakeout

On-chain analysts note Dogecoin’s historical pre-rally shakeout pattern forming again. DOGE dropped to new recent lows before recovering, and the DOGE/BTC pair is showing relative strength. Setup is forming — the trigger hasn’t confirmed yet. Patience and precision.

🔴 Swan Bitcoin Hit With Nearly $1 Billion Lawsuit After Prime Trust Collapse

Swan Bitcoin has been named as a defendant in a lawsuit seeking nearly $1 billion tied to the Prime Trust bankruptcy. Swan denies wrongdoing — but the case adds legal overhang to one of Bitcoin’s most prominent retail platforms at an already difficult macro moment.

💬 F&G READ

📊 F&G: 25 — Fear

F&G at 25 — getting closer to Extreme Fear and it shows. The most important new signal today is the Awesome Oscillator flipping from +518 to -291 overnight. Short-term momentum went from tentative recovery to confirmed rollover. Volume is nearly double yesterday at $39.9B — a lot of activity on a flat price day right above critical support. When you see that, something is about to move.

The BB Lower at $76,013 is directly below us. A daily close there is the technical breakdown signal. Bulls need a Stoch cross (K at 12.0, still oversold) and ETF flow reversal to trigger the squeeze toward the $79.2K CME gap. Hold $76K or the 75K–75.8K order block becomes the last stand before SMA100 at $72.3K opens up.

“I would hope for a bounce today at this upcoming order block based on what I see this morning. Multiple bullish divergences present. But $75K is the line — lose it and the pain really can set in.” — Chaoss

Stay safe out there. Eyes on BB Lower $76,013. See you tomorrow. — Chaoss & the ChartHackers team

Not Financial Advice — Come and join us at https://charthackers.com

Today’s BTC Outlook.

🟢 BULLISH

Price has lost the order block and support level overnight, so we have our eyes set on the next level down — the bullish bounce target. The 50-day MA is down here as support along with a bullish order block. RSI looks low, implying a bounce could come soon.

🟡 NEUTRAL

The neutral outlook: we may have formed a range between 75K and 82K. Having made a push up once using 75K as support, we make our way back down to re-test this level and simply range between the two. We will need to wait for more candles to print.

🔴 BEARISH

If we blow through the next support level to the downside at 75K, we then have a trend line which is longer-term down to 72K — the key line in the sand. If we start to lose these levels then we are in for a chunk of pain, unless of course you are a bear.

WE ALSO NOW HAVE A FULL BTC REPORT AVAILABLE IN HACKERS FOR THE DAY - WHAT MAY HAPPEN LATER / KEY INSIGHTS - COME AND JOIN AND FIND MY CHANNEL SECTION - CHAOSS

⚠️ BREAKING

🔴 Bitcoin Slides Under $77K as Oil Shock and Treasury Yields Hit Risk Assets

BTC fell to a two-week low Monday as 30-year Treasury yields hit a 19-year high of 5.13% and oil surged past $109. Markets are now pricing almost zero chance of a Fed cut before July, draining liquidity from risk assets. On-chain data shows BTC exchange balances at a six-year low — long-term holders aren’t selling, but macro is calling the shots short-term.

📰 TODAY’S KEY STORIES

🔴 Bitcoin MVRV Pattern Predicts Major Downswing Ahead

BTC’s current MVRV ratio mirrors the 2018 bear market structure precisely. Short-term holder MVRV has flipped negative — recent buyers are underwater. If the pattern holds, models project a possible flush toward $61K–$65K before a base forms. The 200-week MA at $61K has only been breached once, during the FTX collapse in 2022. Alarming pattern — not yet confirmed.

🔴 Bitcoin Leverage Hits 14.9x as Profit-Taking Rises — Volatility Ahead?

BTC’s estimated leverage ratio (ELR) has climbed to 14.9x — the highest in six weeks. Rising leverage into a downtrend sets up the conditions for a sharp, liquidation-driven flush. Realized P&L margin data also shows profit-taking increasing — a further headwind for near-term price stability. Watch $75K closely.

💚 Bitmine Buys Another $197M in Ethereum as Tom Lee’s ETH Strategy Presses On

Bitmine added 85,225 ETH to its treasury as Tom Lee’s ETH accumulation strategy continues to accelerate. An early Ethereum OG also bought the dip this week. Institutional accumulation is continuing even as price pulls back — a notable divergence from the bearish short-term price narrative.

💚 America’s Stablecoin Push Goes Beyond Crypto — The CLARITY Act Explains Why

The CLARITY Act is reshaping how the US government thinks about monetary sovereignty in a digital age. Stablecoin issuance growth is compounding rapidly and policymakers are racing to build a legal framework before offshore issuers set the standard. Senate Banking Chair Tim Scott wants a presidential signature by July.

🟡 Investment Firms Look Beyond Iran War to Expand in the Middle East

Asset managers and hedge funds say they remain committed to the Middle East despite the US-Iran conflict. State Street has $1.6 trillion in AUM and opened Abu Dhabi operations in January. “Our commitment to the region is unchanged.” Institutional capital is treating the conflict as transient disruption, not structural risk.

🔴 The US Now Ships Oil to Australia as Strait of Hormuz Crisis Escalates

The Hormuz conflict is reshaping global oil supply routing. The US is now diverting crude to Australia, historically a Middle East-reliant market. Brent crude near $109 — analysts say hitting $110 would force the Fed into more aggressive rate action, a direct negative catalyst for BTC and all risk assets.

🟡 China’s Economic Activity Weakens in April Despite Resilient Exports

Industrial output up 6.1% year-on-year but high-frequency data suggests the consumer-led recovery is stalling. The property sector remains the most critical drag — historically 12–15% of GDP. Political headwinds are accelerating supply chain re-routing out of Chinese manufacturing hubs.

💚 Nvidia Expected to Report $368B in Revenue Over Next Four Quarters

Wall Street’s consensus forecast points to $368 billion in Nvidia revenue across the next four quarters. The data center segment has become one of the most profitable divisions in corporate history. NVDA’s competitive moat in AI accelerators is widening, not shrinking — custom chips for hyperscalers are reaching multi-billion dollar scale.

🔵 Meet the Nvidia of Power — 5 Stocks Winning Big Tech’s $700B AI Energy Grab

Grid-scale battery makers, transformer manufacturers, and cooling infrastructure specialists are the picks-and-shovels play of the AI boom. Big Tech’s $700B AI capex cycle cannot run without them — and unlike chipmakers, these firms face zero overseas competition on critical US grid buildout.

🔵 Chase Coleman’s Tiger Global Bets $180M on Surging Semiconductor Stock

Tiger Global initiated a brand new position in INTC during Q1 2026 — 1.6M shares valued at approximately $180M. INTC has returned 194.77% year-to-date. Coleman is betting the turnaround story is still early. One of the more significant semiconductor endorsements from smart money this year.

🟡 Snapchat: Don’t Rush to Buy This Social Media Stock

Despite being lumped with social media recovery plays, Snap’s fundamentals remain challenging: revenue growth is slowing, profitability is elusive, and Meta continues to dominate. The AI-generated content threat is real and growing. Less than $6B revenue last year — not a value play yet.

🔵 Where Could Palantir Be in 10 Years? The Bull and Bear Cases

Palantir’s Q1 2026 US government revenue hit $373M, up 45% year-on-year. Bull: AI operating system for governments globally. Bear: extreme valuation relative to earnings, vulnerable to any contraction in government AI spending. The range of outcomes over 10 years is as wide as any stock in the market.

🔵 The 10 AI Stocks With the Best Near-Term Upside — Alphabet Leads the Pack

A fresh screen of AI-exposed equities ranks Alphabet at the top for near-term upside, driven by Google Cloud’s accelerating enterprise AI adoption and ad revenue resilience. Institutional money is rotating back into quality AI names after the broad market pullback.

💬 F&G READ

📊 F&G: 28 — Fear

F&G sitting at 28 — deep Fear territory. The macro backdrop explains it clearly: 30-year Treasury yields at their highest since 2007, oil pushing $109, and a Fed pricing in zero cuts before July. BTC got rejected at the SMA200 ($81.4K) — the same level that has been the ceiling since January. The EMA50 at $76.7K is now the last line before things get ugly.

Stochastics are deeply oversold at 8.41 so a short-term bounce isn’t off the table. But the trend is your friend and the trend is down. MVRV mirrors 2018. Leverage is elevated at 14.9x. $75K is the line in the sand this week. This is not a week to be leveraged long without tight stops.

“This is going to be a very important week in the crypto markets — the 75K line in the sand is now in play. We will be following closely.” — Chaoss

Stay safe out there. Eyes on $75K this week. See you tomorrow. — Chaoss & the ChartHackers team

Not Financial Advice — Come and join us at https://charthackers.com

BTC is sitting at $78,157 — at the exact bullish order block, flagged as the decision point. $580M in leveraged long liquidations wiped a full week of gains. Two paths are drawn on the chart. Green: 83K. Red: 75.5K. Right now we’re at a potential bullish or bearish flip. The candles decide.

📊 BTC This Morning

🟢 Bullish — Price is sitting on a bullish order block and tapping its liquidity, after getting rejected from 81K. If it holds here and the oscillator turns back up, we may push back through 80K and take another run at the supply zone above. We do have bullish divergence prints which is positive. If we clear that with conviction the Quantum Reactor potentially catches a bid, and we could be looking at 82K-83K and some continuation. Bulls need to make some strong closes and work hard.

🟡 Neutral — This is the “pick a lane” zone. The order block is potentially holding for now but we are waiting for candles to print today with this weekend volume, price is essentially ranging between two order blocks, and as the 50 day MA makes its way up, also between the 2 MA lines. We may see a few candles of chop right here before it decides. Neutral can easily flip either direction, I have noted the 2 routes in red and green.

🔴 Bearish — The rejection from 81K was clean and price hasn’t recovered. We noted at the time that this could have been a high followed by a lower high. If the order block gives way, the next meaningful support may be the liquidity zone down at 75,000-75,500 (and again reaction from the 50 day MA) — roughly a 3% drop from here. Bears may stay in control as long as we’re below 80K, all eyes on this zone.

WE ALSO NOW HAVE A FULL BTC REPORT AVAILABLE IN HACKERS FOR THE DAY - WHAT MAY HAPPEN LATER / KEY INSIGHTS - COME AND JOIN AND FIND MY CHANNEL SECTION - CHAOSS

📰 TODAY’S KEY STORIES

💚 CLARITY Act Survives Near-Collapse After Last-Minute Senate Compromise

The Digital Asset Market Clarity Act cleared the Senate Banking Committee 15-9 after seven last-minute amendments kept wavering senators on board. Two Democrats crossed the aisle. The bill now faces the 60-vote Senate floor — that’s where the real battle begins.

🔴 Bitcoin Drops to $78K as Rate Hike Fears Trigger $580M Long Flush

Hot CPI and PPI prints forced markets to reprice inflation risk. BTC fell from $82K to $78K as $581M in crypto positions were liquidated — 95% from leveraged longs. US 10-year yields pushed past 4.5%. Oil above $105/barrel on Iran tensions.

🔴 Bitcoin ETFs Snap Six-Week Inflow Streak With $1 Billion Weekly Exit

US spot Bitcoin ETFs posted $1B in net outflows last week — the worst weekly exit in five months. BlackRock led with $635M out on Wednesday. Total ETF assets remain at $104.3B but demand has clearly paused.

🔴 Analyst Warns BTC Setting Up for a ‘Brutal Dump’ Toward $63K

Merlijn The Trader calls the $82K run the biggest bull trap since the $96K rejection and warns of a drop to $63,000. Michael van de Poppe disagrees. Miners have shed 800 BTC in recent days.

🟡 Strategy Plans $1.5B Note Buyback — Says BTC Sales Could Fund Deal

Strategy announced plans to repurchase $1.5B in convertible notes and said Bitcoin sales could fund the deal — a rare acknowledgment the treasury giant may liquidate BTC.

🔴 US 30-Year Treasury Clears 5% for First Time Since 2007

The 30-year US Treasury yield broke above 5% for the first time since 2007. Sticky inflation and oil above $105 forced a bond market repricing. Elevated yields compress crypto risk appetite.

💚 UAE’s Mubadala Raises Bitcoin ETF Stake 16% to $566M in Q1 2026

Abu Dhabi sovereign wealth fund Mubadala increased its spot Bitcoin ETF stake by 16% in Q1 2026, reaching $566M. Long-term sovereign institutional conviction in Bitcoin remains intact.

🔴 $10M Gone: THORChain Exploit Triggers Security Fears Across DeFi

ZachXBT flagged suspicious wallets tied to THORChain’s router. Attackers shifted ~$7.2M in USDT, USDC and BTC across multiple chains. Arkham labeled the addresses “THORChain Exploiter.”

🔵 Hyperliquid Whale Opens 180,000 HYPE Long — $7.78M at 10x Leverage

After HYPE dropped to $41, a whale entered a 180,000 HYPE long at 10x leverage ($7.78M) with a liquidation at $32.80. Platform long/short ratio rose to 1.22.

🔴 ETHBTC Trendline Rejection Keeps Ethereum Under Continued Pressure

ETHBTC keeps rejecting a major descending trendline. ETH fell 2.3% to $2,178 this week — now trading below where it was when BTC was near $60K.

💚 Ethena’s USDe Supply on Solana Surges $450M+ in Just Four Days

USDe supply on Solana jumped $450M+ in four days — nearly 10x the supply on HyperliquidX. Solana is now the clear USDe center of gravity outside Ethereum.

💚 Solana Stablecoin Supply Nears $10B — Analyst Flags Q2 Rally Signal

Solana’s total stablecoin supply is approaching $10B. DeFi Development Corp reports its fully converted SOL per share grew 108% year-over-year.

💬 F&G READ

F&G sits at 27 — Extreme Fear. The market got exactly what fear looks like this week: $580M in liquidations, a $1B ETF outflow, 30-year yields cracking 5% for the first time since 2007, and BTC falling from $82K highs to $78K. The sentiment gauge is deep in the red. History says the best entries often look like the worst times — but bottoms take time to form. Right now we’re at the order block. Stoch K at 14 — deeply oversold. Two paths drawn. The candles will tell the story.

“This is the ‘pick a lane’ zone — neutral can easily flip either direction. The candles decide.” — Chaoss

Stay safe out there. Watch those candles as the weekend closes out. See you tomorrow.

— Chaoss & the ChartHackers team

Not Financial Advice — Come and join us at https://charthackers.com

BTC is sitting at $78,944 — down 2.4% — after a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH) printed at $79,181 on May 13. The short-term structure has flipped. Price is capped by an Equal High at $79,479 and an unfilled bearish Fair Value Gap just above. The 8H oscillator is sitting low and potentially starting to turn — which is the one thing bulls are watching this morning. Jerome Powell’s legacy? The S&P, Dow, Nasdaq, and Bitcoin were all in the red. Today we are watching the boxes.

📊 BTC SCENARIOS

🟢 Bullish — The trendline has served its purpose and we move on from it. We are now squarely focused on the two blue boxes and the bullish case is a clean break and hold above the top box around 81,500 to 82,000. That would flip that level from resistance to support and open up the potential for a continuation move and another higher high. Watch for a strong close above that zone on the 8H — that is the signal we want.

🟡 Neutral — We are sitting in the middle of a defined range right now. The top blue box around 81,500 to 82,000 has been a ceiling and the bottom blue box around 77,500 to 78,000 has been the floor. The neutral case is we keep bouncing between these two zones and that is not a bad scenario at all. When Bitcoin consolidates like this it gives the altcoins room to breathe and you will often see BTC dominance start to ease off during these periods. This kind of sideways action between well-defined levels is also a classic accumulation phase and can come before an explosive move so lets watch this.

🔴 Bearish — Losing the bottom blue box around 77,500 is the level that changes the conversation. If we get a clean close below that zone then the range has broken to the downside and the next meaningful support comes in around 74 to 76K where the next moving average is sitting. The support not holding doesn’t make this a foregone conclusion, but a break of the lower box is the signal we would treat as confirmation of a deeper pullback.

WE ALSO NOW HAVE A FULL BTC REPORT AVAILABLE IN HACKERS FOR THE DAY - WHAT MAY HAPPEN LATER / KEY INSIGHTS - COME AND JOIN AND FIND MY CHANNEL SECTION - CHAOSS

📰 TODAY’S KEY STORIES

🟡 STRC Hits $1.53B Record — U.S. Equity Flows Drive Bitcoin Demand

Strategy’s STRC index closed at a record $1.53 billion for the fourth consecutive day above the $100 threshold. As U.S. equity inflows keep climbing, analysts are asking whether the link between stock-market appetite and Bitcoin demand is becoming structural. Michael Saylor’s machine keeps building.

💚 US CLARITY Act Brings “Major Spike of Euphoria” to Bitcoin — Santiment

The Senate Banking Committee advanced the Digital Asset Market CLARITY Act 14-1. Crypto sentiment platform Santiment flagged a major spike in social euphoria around Bitcoin. Senator Cynthia Lummis: “The CLARITY Act continues America’s tradition of financial innovation on U.S. soil — under clear, pro-growth, pro-consumer guidelines.” Clearest regulatory signal the industry has seen.

🔴 BTC Rallying Into a Heavy Supply Zone — Sherlockwhale

On-chain analyst Sherlockwhale identifies the $84K–$88K band as the largest supply cluster in Bitcoin’s current market structure — approximately 1.2 million BTC sitting in unrealized loss from January’s breakdown. The rally has pushed into exactly where seller pressure is stacked.

🔴 US Dollar Index Rising: Will Bitcoin Follow or Backtrack?

The DXY is breaking out after forming a double bottom on the daily chart. Historically BTC and the dollar index move inversely — data from Bitcoin Countertflow shows the pattern holds across all major BTC expansion phases. If dollar strength holds, it could cap the rally.

🔴 Ethereum Flashes Rare Divergence: Spot vs Derivatives Market

ETH is consolidating between $2,151 and $2,564 while derivatives tell a very different story. ETH perpetual funding rates flipped sharply negative to -0.184% — leveraged traders aggressively betting on the downside even as spot buyers hold steady. Someone is going to be wrong here.

🟡 XRP Domino Theory: How XRP Could Benefit From a Crisis

Analyst Jake Claver’s “Domino Theory” maps cascading macro shocks — oil disruptions, Japan carry trade unwinds, bank stress — ultimately pushing capital into BTC and XRP as infrastructure-grade assets. Speculative, but gaining traction in crypto-native circles as Q3 macro risks stack up.

🔴 HYPE Falls 6% as CME and ICE Target Hyperliquid Over Oil Risks

Hyperliquid’s HYPE token dropped 6% after CME Group and ICE signalled they are looking at ways to attack Hyperliquid’s decentralised oil perpetuals market over risk management concerns. A direct stress test for whether decentralised perp platforms can survive institutional pressure.

🟡 Is Zcash the Next Bitcoin? Investors Rush Into the Privacy Coin Narrative

Arthur Hayes revealed ZEC has become one of his largest crypto holdings outside Bitcoin. As AI surveillance capabilities grow, privacy advocates argue demand for shielded transactions will follow structurally. Hayes believes financial privacy is simply not yet priced in.

💚 Cardano Could Launch New Bull Phase With Investor Confidence Rising

ADA is breaking above the $0.74 resistance that has capped the token for months. The Relative Vigor Index signals building momentum and the moving average stack is improving. Key stakeholders are quietly accumulating as institutional interest grows.

🟡 SHIB Almost Returns to 82 Trillion Exchange Threshold

Shiba Inu is approaching the 82 trillion token mark on exchanges — historically associated with supply tightening. On-chain data shows exchange reserves declining as holders pull tokens off platforms. That pattern has historically preceded sharp SHIB price moves.

🔵 Here’s Where Wealth Is Moving in America

Florida gained tens of billions in income from out-of-state residents between 2019 and 2023. Incoming residents averaged $132,000 in annual income. IRS data reveals a structural domestic capital shift quietly reshaping regional economies and real estate fundamentals.

🔵 Nuclear Tech Stock Grew Revenue 27% — But a Fund Slashed Its Stake

Mirion Technologies (NYSE: MIR) posted $901.53M revenue — up 27% YoY. Despite the growth, Nicholas Investment Partners filed an SEC disclosure showing they sold 592,382 shares in Q1 2026, worth ~$13.36M. Shares up 6% YTD but underperforming the S&P 500.

🔴 Dogecoin Was a Dog of an Investment on Friday

DOGE slid nearly 2% on Friday as investors rotated into safer assets responding to rising yields and geopolitical tensions. The meme coin was dragged by the same macro current punishing most altcoins — broader risk-off sentiment with nowhere for meme coins to hide.

🔴 Best Energy Stock to Invest $10,000 in Right Now?

Enterprise Products Partners (EPD) offers a 5.7% distribution yield backed by pipeline infrastructure that won’t be replaced overnight. As geopolitical tensions keep energy prices elevated, EPD’s durable, cycle-tested income stands out — especially as treasury yields rise and speculative risk appetite fades.

💬 F&G READ — CHAOSS

F&G is at 31 today — sitting firmly in Fear territory and the needle is in the red. That number tells you exactly what the market is feeling: cautious, nervous, and maybe not yet convinced the worst is over. And honestly, when you look at the chart, that caution makes sense. We’ve had a bearish CHoCH and we’ve got a wall of supply overhead. But here’s the thing — Fear is often where the best setups are born. The 8H oscillator is sitting low and looking like it wants to turn. That’s the one thing I’m watching. If you’re a long-term holder, this is background noise. If you’re a short-term trader, you are watching those blue boxes. Nothing more, nothing less. Stay patient.

Stay safe out there. Watch the blue boxes — the one that gives way first tells you the next chapter. See you tomorrow. — Chaoss & the ChartHackers team

Not Financial Advice — Come and join us at https://charthackers.com

🟢 BULLISH: For now it appears that the push through the trend line to the downside was in fact a fake out and it might even be making an inverse head and shoulders as we speak. We have tapped the 200day MA and although we have reacted to the downside, for now at least, it wasn’t a big reaction, there’s support here and we do have the potential to increase our levels with the current structure. Looking to pierce through the resistance and make another higher high for our bull case.

🟡 NEUTRAL: You can see the last 40 candles or so that we have been in a range between 78 and 82k, the neutral case here is that we keep consolidating between these two levels, which is not a bad thing as it gives the other tokens time to catch up, and potentially lower BTC.D as well. If this keeps happening, we will remove the trend line and look at other ideas, such as ranges to continue our trend analysis. This isn’t a bad thing at all for the market and it can make Bitcoin temporarily more predictable too.

🔴 BEARISH: You can now see how losing the trend line doesn’t actually give us a be-all or end-all scenario. As I’ve always denoted trend lines are not a factor you can rely on for trading, they are simply a metric to show us the direction we are potentially moving in. As such if we do lose the line and then come back into the underside to retest it and then react hard to the downside, that is when we will be looking for a bearish case scenario. If we do lose this level, then the next level down would be 76K down to 74 where we have our 50 day MA as well.

WE ALSO NOW HAVE A FULL BTC REPORT AVAILABLE IN HACKERS FOR THE DAY - WHAT MAY HAPPEN LATER / KEY INSIGHTS - COME AND JOIN AND FIND MY CHANNEL SECTION - CHAOSS

📰 TODAY’S KEY STORIES

💚 Bitcoin’s Climb to $80K Could Be a Temporary Liquidity Squeeze

Bitfinex analysts warn the recovery may be short-lived, with $479M in daily realized losses still well above the $200M confirmed-recovery threshold. A $2 billion short-gamma options cluster at $82,000 could squeeze prices briefly higher before flipping into resistance. Spot ETF outflows hit $635M in a single day — the largest since January.

🔴 Bitcoin ETF Outflows Top $841M for the Week — But Price Holds Above $80K

U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs are on track for their first week of net losses after six consecutive weeks of $3.4B in gains. BlackRock’s IBIT led with $285M in outflows, while Morgan Stanley’s new MSBT fund has seen zero withdrawals since its April 8 launch. CryptoQuant point to $70,000 as potential support if momentum fades.

🔴 Hot CPI Dims Rate Cut Hopes — Warsh Signals Higher for Longer

April CPI came in at 2.8% YoY, above estimates, pushing the 10-year Treasury yield to 4.44% and CME FedWatch June cut odds to near zero. New Fed Chair Kevin Warsh has signalled rates won’t be cut this year. BitMEX’s Arthur Hayes maintains his $126,000 BTC target, citing global liquidity dynamics overriding short-term macro pain.

🔴 CertiK: North Korea Laundered Billions Through Crypto, Now Shifting to Physical Infiltration

DPRK-linked hackers were responsible for 60% of all crypto industry losses in 2025, stealing roughly $2.06B of $3.4B total despite accounting for only 12% of incidents. CertiK’s Skynet report reveals tactics are evolving from phishing to placing operatives physically inside target organisations.

🔵 Chainlink CCIP Surpasses $2.5B TVL as Kraken Bitcoin Joins the LayerZero Exodus

Kraken is the latest major exchange to ditch LayerZero’s cross-chain infrastructure following the $292M Kelp DAO exploit, migrating its wrapped Bitcoin product (kBTC) to Chainlink’s CCIP. Combined with Kelp DAO, Solv and Re migrations, total TVL moved exceeds $2.57 billion.

💚 Blockchain.com Launches Crypto-Backed Loans for BTC, ETH and USDC Holders Globally

Blockchain.com has rolled out crypto-backed loans globally at rates starting from 1.9% per year, letting holders borrow against BTC, ETH and USDC without selling their assets. The crypto lending market has now surpassed $70 billion in total volume.

🔵 MoonPay Launches One-Tap Crypto Purchases Across 100 Countries via Headless Onramps

MoonPay’s Headless Onramps API lets wallets and apps offer one-tap crypto purchases via Apple Pay, Google Pay and cards without redirecting users. Launch partners include Moonshot, Bitcoin.com, Bread and Trust Wallet across the US, EEA and 100+ countries.

🟡 JPMorgan: ETH and Altcoins Could Keep Underperforming Bitcoin Without Stronger On-Chain Activity

JPMorgan analysts say the underperformance trend is “unlikely to change unless we see meaningful improvements in network activity, DeFi and real world applications.” BTC has recovered more strongly than ETH across both spot and derivatives markets since the Iran conflict resolution.

🔴 OpenAI Confirms Internal Repos Accessed in Shai-Hulud AI Malware Campaign

OpenAI confirmed malware linked to the Shai-Hulud supply chain campaign infected two employee devices, granting access to internal code storage systems. No customer data or core systems were affected. The disclosure follows earlier reports linking Microsoft and Mistral AI to the same campaign.

🔴 Apple-OpenAI Partnership Sours After Two Years — Legal Battle Could Be Next

Apple’s two-year AI partnership with OpenAI has become strained, with the startup failing to deliver expected benefits and both sides preparing for potential legal action, Bloomberg News reported. The fallout could reshape Apple’s entire approach to third-party AI integrations.

💚 Strive Shares Jump on ‘Daily Dividend’ Strategy as Firm Goes Debt-Free With 15,000+ BTC

Strive Inc. (NASDAQ: ASST) surged 7% after unveiling its SATA preferred stock will become the first U.S.-listed security paying cash dividends every business day, starting June 16 at 13% annually. The firm cleared all debts and disclosed bitcoin holdings of over 15,000 BTC.

🔴 JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon Warns of Excessive Exuberance in Financial Markets

Jamie Dimon used a Bloomberg interview to warn that markets are running too hot, pointing to persistent inflation, geopolitical tensions and rising oil prices as ingredients for a potential reality check. A timely reminder for any trader riding momentum without hedging macro risk.

🔴 Kevin Warsh Is the New Fed Chair — Rates May Not Drop This Year or Next

The Senate confirmed Warsh 54-45. With CPI at 2.8% and PPI surging 6% YoY, Warsh has signalled rates are unlikely to fall in 2026 — a rate hike is even on the table. A prolonged higher-for-longer environment remains the key macro headwind for risk assets.

🔴 Tom Lee’s BitMine Posts $3.8 Billion Quarterly Loss Due to Ethereum Price Plunge

Bitcoin Immersion Technologies (BitMine) posted a net loss of more than $3.8B in Q1 2026, attributing most damage to unrealized paper losses on its Ethereum holdings. Shares of BMNR have slid nearly 60% over the past six months despite a modest session bounce.

📊 FEAR & GREED READ

💬 F&G sits at 43 today — still Fear territory, even as BTC bounces back above $81K. That’s actually constructive. Markets that climb while fear dominates tend to be more durable than those driven by euphoria. The fake-out on the trendline break, if confirmed, is the most important development in several days. RSI is low and facing up. Cash is flowing in. The 200-day MA is holding. The bull case is intact — but $82K is the gate. That’s where the short-gamma cluster and the bearish order block from May 11 converge. How price reacts to that level today will tell us a lot. Stay with us in Discord — we’ll be watching every candle.

“The RSI is looking fine today on this 8h timeframe, low and facing up and we have cash flowing in.”

Stay safe out there. Watch those levels. We’ll be with you every step of the way today.

See you tomorrow. — Chaoss & the ChartHackers team

Not Financial Advice — Come and join us at https://charthackers.com

🟢 BULLISH: For the first time since this daily edition has been running we have lost the trend line. However we are searching to decide if this is a fake out or not and to see if people will start to put their money back in to risk on assets. The RSI is in a good position so we will need to see what happens today. The bullish scenario is we recover the trend line and start to make some highs again and gain some levels.

🟡 NEUTRAL: We will need to see today where today’s lows are made and if we tap the next level down at 79 to 78.5. There is the possibility we set a range between this level and the resistance box above still.

🔴 BEARISH: If we do not recover the trend line and we use it as resistance and then start to press down into the next level down around the 78 region, then we will see a bearish case playing out. Hindsight is always a wonderful thing and you guys can now look back on this and see where we made a high, then a lower high, and now we’ve lost the trend, so a good thing to take away here, if you were long, this is why market structure matters. That lower high was the first sign, using the 200 day as resistance was the second. Will we press down toward the 100 day now or will we bounce back first... The RSI is looking ok today, and low and facing up, however, other indications are showing bearish signs so we will need to see what happens today. All eyes on our zooms and stages today we will be with you every step of the way, as always.

WE ALSO NOW HAVE A FULL BTC REPORT AVAILABLE IN HACKERS FOR THE DAY - WHAT MAY HAPPEN LATER / KEY INSIGHTS - COME AND JOIN AND FIND MY CHANNEL SECTION - CHAOSS

📰 TODAY’S KEY STORIES

🔴 Bitcoin Dips Below $80K as Bears Tighten Grip on Market

BTC extended its decline below $80,000 as bears firmly control price action after the key ascending trendline was lost for the first time in this edition’s run. The next major support zone sits near $78,000–$78,500, with RSI turning lower and macro headwinds adding pressure.

🔴 XRP Continues Grinding Lower as Buyers Stay On Sidelines

XRP extended its loss below $0.50 with buyers absent. The descending channel pattern from the $2.90 high remains intact, and any failure to reclaim $0.50 keeps the near-term bias firmly bearish with the next key level at $0.46.

🔴 Ethereum Flashes Weakness Signals — Pullback Fears Start Rising

ETH declined from the $2,500 zone, consolidating near $2,480 below key moving averages. A close below this level risks a drop toward $2,300. Bearish divergence building on higher timeframes.

🔴 MARA Stock Under Pressure Following $1.5 Billion Bitcoin Sell-Off

Bitcoin miner MARA Holdings faces a rough quarter with analysts forecasting $1.5B in BTC selling pressure. The company is diversifying away from pure mining but can’t escape the broader downtrend dragging the sector lower.

🔴 9 Red Candles Before the Bottom: Why Bitcoin May Continue to Fall

A monthly oscillator pattern historically preceding major BTC moves is now active. This pattern has marked either a bottom build-out or the beginning of a sharper leg lower — current structure will determine which plays out.

🟡 Kevin Warsh Set to Lead Fed as US Inflation Climbs to 3-Year High

Incoming Fed chair Warsh inherits energy-driven inflation at a three-year high and a divided FOMC. His hawkish track record suggests rates stay elevated longer — a meaningful headwind for crypto and risk assets heading into summer.

🟡 Trump & Xi Head to Beijing for First Investment Deal Talks Since 2017

The two-day summit (May 14–15) focuses on bilateral investment structures worth potentially double-digit billions. Any shift in US-China relations has historically moved Bitcoin through dollar liquidity channels. Watch closely.

🟡 Thursday: Jobless Claims, Retail Sales & Full Fed Speaker Lineup

Key data at 8:30 AM ET: jobless claims, retail sales, import/export prices. Multiple Fed officials speak throughout the day. Any hawkish signals could add further downside pressure on crypto and equities.

🔴 HyperLiquid Eyes $35 Support as HYPE Faces Continued Weakness

HYPE has seen $47.3M+ in exchange outflows suggesting accumulation — but weekly bearish divergence and institutional selling mean price needs a clean hold above $35 before any recovery carries conviction.

💚 Stablecoins Enter Institutional Phase as Senate CLARITY Act Clarifies Roles

The CLARITY Act shapes up as the most comprehensive US digital asset framework to date. Active stablecoin addresses hit 26M for the first time since 2021 as institutional capital eyes on-chain dollar exposure.

💚 SpaceX IPO Eyes $75B Raise — 3 Stocks Set to Benefit From the $1.75T Listing

SpaceX targets the largest IPO in history this summer. Alphabet invested $900M. Three adjacent aerospace stocks are pricing in the halo effect ahead of the listing.

💚 Wells Fargo Raises Nvidia Target — Stock Could Surge 40%+ Driven by AI Capex

Wells Fargo raised its Nvidia target to $315, implying ~44% upside. The bank argues the AI pipeline led by Blackwell chips is durable infrastructure capex — not cyclical — sustainable through 2027.

💚 DeFi Development Corp Reports 108% Yearly Growth in SOL Per Share

Solana treasury firm DFDV posted a 108% YoY increase in SOL per share, driven by validator operations, on-chain DeFi participation, and aggressive treasury deployment. Retired 44% of convertible notes.

🔵 Cardano: Hoskinson Says Never Abandoned Scaling — Leios Upgrades Coming

Hoskinson cited Leios protocol upgrades, governance improvements, and 1,900+ dApps in development. The measured approach aims for long-term resilience — community is watching on-chain metrics for proof.

📊 FEAR & GREED READ

💬 F&G sits at 34 today — Fear territory and the lowest reading in several weeks. The market is showing real anxiety as BTC loses its trendline for the first time this run. RSI is low and facing upward which is a small positive, but other indicators are flashing bearish signals. The bigger picture question today: is this a trendline fake-out or the beginning of a deeper correction? The $78–78.5K zone is the line in the sand. If that holds, structure is intact. If not, the 100-day MA becomes the next reference point. Stay patient, stay informed, stay with us in Discord all day.

“That lower high was the first sign, using the 200 day as resistance was the second.”

Stay safe out there. Watch those levels. We’ll be with you every step of the way today.

See you tomorrow. — Chaoss & the ChartHackers team

Not Financial Advice — Come and join us at https://charthackers.com

BTC is sitting at $81,146 with the diagonal trend line from Edition 1 still firmly in play. RSI is facing upward — a constructive signal. The Quantum and Dynamic Reactor are both providing support below. We want to see a push through resistance and the 200-day MA. But as always, the market will do what it wants. Keep an eye in Hackers Discord all day.

Fear and Greed sits at 42 — Fear — but our outlook remains potentially bullish. Structure intact.

📊 CHAOSS ANALYSIS — THREE SCENARIOS

🟢 BULLISH — The trend line which has been in play since this daily edition started is still in play and it has made this daily update quite easy to find levels. RSI is now facing up, which is bullish — let’s see cash flow back into this and push up through the resistance and the 200-day today and this week for a bullish continuation.

🟡 NEUTRAL — From three days ago we have been ranging in a neutral range between support and resistance, which is completely fine and gives time for the alts to cook as well. This can in theory continue until we squeeze both the 200 and the diagonal trend. The RSI has given us an indication we MAY bounce upwards.

🔴 BEARISH — If something undesirable in the world happens today and price action suddenly takes a massive tumble through the support level and the diagonal trend, we will need to reassess for an entry for a short if applicable.

The RSI is looking positive as it is facing upwards. There is lots of support from both the Quantum and Dynamic Reactor as well. I would like to see a push up today and to break through the resistance and the 200-day — but of course anything is possible. Make sure you hang with us in Discord today and we’ll keep you up to date all day.

WE ALSO NOW HAVE A FULL BTC REPORT AVAILABLE IN HACKERS FOR THE DAY — KEY INSIGHTS AND WHAT MAY HAPPEN LATER — COME AND JOIN AND FIND MY CHANNEL SECTION — CHAOSS

📰 TODAY’S KEY STORIES

💚 INSTITUTIONAL · COMPLIANCE

Elliptic Hits $670M Valuation as Nasdaq and Deutsche Bank Back Crypto Compliance

London-based Elliptic raised $120M in a round led by One Peak Partners, with Deutsche Bank and Nasdaq as participants. The blockchain analytics firm tracks illicit crypto flows. When Wall Street’s compliance infrastructure gets funded at this scale, it signals institutions are building for permanence — not just dabbling.

💚 REGULATION · CLARITY ACT

CLARITY Act Developer Protections Adopted — Senate Odds Jump 23% in May

The much-awaited crypto market structure bill is gaining real traction. The previously contested developer protection provisions have been adopted into the text. Senator Lummis: “Big week for digital assets. After nearly a year of bipartisan work, this markup brings us one step closer. Wyoming showed the way, now Washington is following.”

💚 CRYPTO MARKETS · SENTIMENT

eToro CEO: Crypto Could Climb Back Near All-Time Highs This Year

Yoni Assia says investor engagement is recovering following the sharp pullback earlier in 2026. Crypto markets could regain momentum and approach record levels before year-end. Institutional participation re-entering the market is the key driver. The narrative shift from fear to accumulation is building.

💚 DEFI · TRADFI

Kraken Parent Payward and Franklin Templeton Launch Tokenized Yield Products

Kraken’s parent company has partnered with the $1.7 trillion asset manager to build onchain financial products. Payward and Franklin Templeton plan to create tokenized yield offerings blending traditional investing with blockchain rails. When a fund bigger than most countries’ GDPs starts tokenizing, “institutional adoption” stops being theoretical.

🟡 SOLANA · PRICE TARGET

AI Analysis Targets Solana at $350 by End of 2026

The analysis cites raw throughput (1.1 billion transactions in Q1 alone), growing stablecoin issuance, and Franklin Templeton’s live onchain product as compounding fundamentals. SOL’s market structure means when BTC breaks above $100K, altcoin season historically outperforms significantly. Bear case sits at $55 on a memecoin-driven collapse.

🔵 ETHEREUM · SECURITY

Ethereum Foundation Rolls Out Clear Signing Support — ERC-7730 Registry Live

The EF launched a public registry for Clear Signing — a standard that makes transaction approval descriptions human-readable. Originally proposed by Ledger as ERC-7730, it aims to eliminate blind signing. Tooling libraries now distributed to devs. The EF aims to be a credibly neutral steward of the ecosystem.

🔵 PRIVACY · LAYER 1

Sui to Integrate Native Private Transactions Into Core Protocol

Sui is embedding private transactions directly into its base protocol. Unlike traditional systems where transparency is the default, Sui aims to make confidentiality a built-in feature — eliminating the need for optional privacy tools. Transaction details visible only to sender and receiver by default.

🔴 ENERGY · GEOPOLITICS

Why the Oil Crisis Could Become a Full-Blown Catastrophe Within a Month

Global crude reserves are depleting rapidly with Iran-US tensions pushing Strait of Hormuz shipping to a near-standstill. “Every week that passes, you have tighter markets” — Dow Jones Energy exec. The macro ceiling for risk assets tightens with every barrel. Crypto is not immune.

🔴 MACRO · CPI

US CPI Hits 3.8% — Energy Prices Surge 17.9% as Iran War Drives Inflation

April’s CPI was the biggest annual jump since May 2023. Petrol up 28.4% YoY. Markets had priced three rate cuts for 2026 — now a 31% chance of a hike exists instead. The whiplash sent crypto sliding, with BTC briefly dipping below $80K before recovering structure.

🔴 GEOPOLITICS · IRAN

Iran Demands US Lift All Sanctions and Control of Hormuz — Talks Stall

Prediction markets price just 26% odds on the US agreeing to Iranian demands. A diplomatic meeting before June 30 looks increasingly unlikely. Iran’s uncompromising stance is raising WTI crude expectations and directly feeding into the CPI numbers spooking rate traders globally.

🟡 ECB · RATES

ECB Rate Hikes Increasingly Likely, Bundesbank’s Nagel Tells Handelsblatt

Bundesbank President Joachim Nagel: “We can’t ignore the high energy prices. Interest rate hikes are becoming increasingly likely unless the inflation picture changes fundamentally.” The ECB is watching the same Iran crisis crypto traders are watching — and drawing opposite conclusions for rates.

🟡 MARKETS · MACRO

Stock Market Isn’t Ignoring Iran — It’s Rising for Three Very Real Reasons

The US economy is less reliant on oil than in prior cycles. AI continues to power outsized S&P 500 profit share. Energy affects just a small fraction of overall company margins. Stocks at all-time highs despite surging oil — risk appetite is alive, and crypto is watching closely.

🟡 TECH · EQUITIES

SpaceX and Google in Talks Over Space-Based Data Centers

Elon Musk’s rocket company is reportedly in talks to help Google put data centers in space, per the WSJ. The industry sees satellite-based data centers as a solution to rising electricity demands created by the AI boom. Space is the new frontier for data infrastructure.

🟡 NASDAQ · EQUITIES

Nasdaq-100 Fell Nearly 2% Tuesday — Biggest Departure From Recent Trend

Broadcom and Micron were the biggest drags. The sharpest single-session fall in weeks. One rough day doesn’t break the trend — but it’s worth watching into Wednesday. Crypto correlated sell-off followed the print.

🔵 AI · LEGAL

Altman Testifies About “Hair-Raising” AI Safety Chat With Musk at Trial

Sam Altman told jurors he was “extremely uncomfortable” with Musk’s demand for complete control over OpenAI’s for-profit subsidiary in 2017. Musk allegedly wanted a contract signed and was unwilling to proceed without it. The Musk vs. Altman trial raises reputational stakes for both sides of AI.

🔵 AI · POLICY

Trump Expected to Sign AI Security Executive Order Today

Per the Washington Post, the reported order adds to a growing stack of AI-focused directives from an administration positioning the US as the global AI leader. Prior orders leaned toward removing barriers — this one focuses on security governance frameworks.

💬 F&G READ — 42 / FEAR

F&G sits at 42 — firmly in Fear territory. And yet the structure is holding. BTC coiling between $80,000 support and $84,000 resistance, RSI curling upward, trend line from Edition 1 intact through one of the noisiest macro backdrops of the year. CPI at 3.8% rattled the market — but BTC bounced. Iran tensions are tightening the energy ceiling — but institutions are still building. Elliptic at $670M. Franklin Templeton onchain. CLARITY Act advancing. The market is fearful. That’s usually when the best entries happen. Watch $80K as your line in the sand.

“RSI is looking positive as it is facing upwards. There is lots of support from both the Quantum and Dynamic Reactor. I would like to see a push up today and break through the resistance and the 200-day — but of course anything is possible. Make sure you hang with us in Discord today.”

Stay safe out there. Edition 31 tomorrow.

See you tomorrow. — Chaoss & the ChartHackers team

Not Financial Advice — Come and join us at https://charthackers.com

📊 BTC ANALYSIS — THREE SCENARIOS

🟢 BULLISH — The trend line which has been in play since this daily edition started is still in play and by comparison to the last few months, it has made it much more manageable to work out where exactly we are each day. If we tested the Yellow Trend and Quantum Reactor and Support Zone today and bounced off this bullishly at around the 79.5k mark, it would be a very sustainable retest and we can probably carry on.

🟡 NEUTRAL — Quote from 2 days back “There is of course the possibility we just bounce between the currently marked support and resistance for a few days now.” - this is happening, next move loading, we saw some alts catch up, potentially more of this today (and more alts can carry on running (except ETH of course ! - alt season vs btc.D).

🔴 BEARISH — There is of course the potential that we have put in the highest of highs (for now) and since then we have made a lower high. If we do drop this yellow line and support zone and we start to test levels below 78k, then we will re-access. Just a small note. Remember that a trend line is not something you can rely on for an accurate trade. Rather it sets us the direction and gives us a level to look at.

The price action for the last week and a half has been great, with alts too. Could be another pivotal day today. Make sure you keep an eye in Hackers all day for the latest updates, see you there.

WE ALSO NOW HAVE A FULL BTC REPORT AVAILABLE IN HACKERS FOR THE DAY - WHAT MAY HAPPEN LATER / KEY INSIGHTS - COME AND JOIN AND FIND MY CHANNEL SECTION - CHAOSS

📰 TODAY’S KEY STORIES

💚 BTC · PRICE ACTION

Bitcoin Eyes $82K Break as Bulls Gear Up for a Bigger Rally

BTC consolidating above $80K with buyers defending every dip. The 50% Fibonacci from the local high is providing dynamic support. Analysts see a clean break above $82K as the trigger for continuation toward $85K+, with funding rates turning positive — signalling renewed long positioning across major perp markets.

💚 BTC · INSTITUTIONAL

Saylor Reveals the Conditions Under Which Strategy Would Sell Bitcoin

Strategy holds 818,000 BTC (~$65B) and would only sell tactical small amounts to protect credit ratings — then buy back 5-10x more. Saylor at Consensus Miami: “If the market thought we’d never sell, credit agencies would say it’s not an asset.” The world’s largest corporate BTC holder remains structurally bullish and buying.

💚 BITCOIN ETFs · POLICY

Spot ETFs Pull $620M; MSTR Buys 535 BTC; Senate Marks CLARITY Act

A strong day for institutional flows — spot ETFs record $620M in inflows as MSTR adds another 535 BTC. The US Senate has formally marked up the CLARITY Act, advancing the regulatory framework that could define crypto market structure for the next decade.

🟡 BTC · DERIVATIVES

Bitcoin Funding Rates Turn Positive — Is an $85K Rally Next?

Funding rates across major perp markets have flipped positive for the first time since the local high near $88K. Historically this signals renewed long positioning. Traders are watching $81.5K as the first real resistance level before a clear run at $85K becomes viable.

🟡 ALTS · MARKET STRUCTURE

Altcoin CEX Volume Ratio Hasn’t Looked Like This Since the 2021 Bull Run

A cross-exchange altcoin volume ratio signal has appeared that hasn’t been seen at this scale since the 2021 cycle top. The last time it triggered, altcoins exploded. Capital rotation into a new leg, or the final flush of a bear market bounce? Watch BTC.D closely.

🔵 BTC · ON-CHAIN

Bitcoin Exits ‘Panic Zone’ But Capital Inflows Remain Weak

On-chain data shows BTC has moved out of the extreme fear / panic zone for the first time since the tariff selloff. Net capital inflows remain below levels seen at the start of the 2024 rally — the market is recovering but not yet in full risk-on mode.

💚 CIRCLE · BITCOIN ETFs

Ark Invest Buys $5.5M of Circle Shares as Stock Surges 16% on Q1 Results

Cathie Wood’s Ark bought ~$5.5M in Circle Internet Group across ARKK, ARKW and ARKF. Circle closed at $131.76, up 15.91%, after Q1 earnings beat. Circle is Ark’s sixth-largest holding at 4.6% weighting — a direct stablecoin infrastructure bet.

🔵 ETHEREUM · PRICE

Ethereum Rejected Near $2,400 Again — Sellers Continue to Defend the Barrier

ETH has been rejected at $2,400 three times in quick succession — aligning with the 200-day MA on the 4H. Next meaningful support: $2,150 (EQH sweep target) and $2,062. Bulls need a decisive weekly close above $2,400 to change the structure.

💚 SOLANA · TECHNOLOGY

Solana’s Alpenglow Achieves 100x Finality Gain in Live Test Cluster

Anza’s consensus overhaul slashes transaction finality from 12.8 seconds to under 150ms — roughly 100x faster. The upgrade passed governance with 98% approval. Q2 2026 mainnet deployment timeline on track.

🔵 DEFI · LDO

Lido DAO Nears Breakout Zone as Whales Back $3.7M LDO Long

LDO support holding at the 4H EMA ($0.878) with a $3.7M long position building ahead of a potential breakout. The LDO/BTC ratio flags it as a relative underperformer — rotation watch if BTC consolidates at $80K.

🔵 AI · INFRASTRUCTURE

IREN Plans $2B Convertible Notes for Data Center Expansion and AI Infrastructure

IREN pivots from Bitcoin mining to AI-scale GPU infrastructure, raising $2B via dual-tranche convertible notes. Sweetwater 1 (Texas) targets 700,000 GPUs with a 5-year, 750-megawatt Microsoft anchor deal locking in demand from day one.

🔵 MACRO · AI

Alphabet Plans First Yen Bond Sale to Fund $190B AI Spending Push

Google’s parent issues yen-denominated bonds across eight maturities to fund $190B in AI capex — double its 2024 spend. Big Tech’s AI infrastructure arms race is reshaping global capital markets.

🔵 AI · MACRO

Anthropic Commits $200B to Google Cloud — Great News for Alphabet Investors

Anthropic has committed $200B over five years to Google Cloud for compute and custom silicon. Google Cloud revenue accelerating with a $400B+ backlog — and the relationship is expanding.

🔵 MACRO · GLOBAL

Hedge Funds Post Decade-High Weekly Buys in Asian Equities — Morgan Stanley

Hedge funds recorded their largest weekly net buying in Korean, Japanese and Taiwanese equities in a decade. Historically, Asian risk-on flows correlate with global crypto appetite within 2-3 weeks.

💬 F&G READ — 49 / NEUTRAL

F&G sits at 49 — right on the neutral line, neither fear nor greed. The market is in wait-and-see mode. With the trend line still intact and funding rates turning positive, structure remains bullish. But until we see a clean push through $81,500-$82,073 and hold it, consolidation at $80K is the base case. The 1W still reads Sell at the macro level — the recovery is real but not complete. Patience here tends to get rewarded.

“Could be another pivotal day today. The price action for the last week and a half has been great, with alts too. Make sure you keep an eye in Hackers all day for the latest updates, see you there.” — Chaoss

Stay safe out there. Edition 30 tomorrow.

See you tomorrow. — Chaoss & the ChartHackers team

Not Financial Advice — Come and join us at https://charthackers.com